基于模糊Petri网的边坡安全评估法及其应用

    Study on safety evaluation of existing slope based on fuzzy Petri net and its application

    • 摘要: 在边坡工程安全评估研究中,目前大多是对拟建新边坡和已出现问题的边坡进行研究,而对既有建筑边坡工程(运行中的边坡)进行安全评估的研究较少,特别是评估方法还有待完善。为此,以模糊推理方法为基础,提出了基于模糊Petri网的既有建筑边坡安全评估方法。该方法引入了既有建筑边坡安全评估因素的可信度与变迁置信度,利用主观和客观综合赋值法求解评估指标权重;利用该方法不仅可以得到既有建筑边坡安全评估结果,还能计算出对既有建筑边坡安全影响最大的一级风险指标以及可变因素对既有建筑边坡安全稳定性附加影响的大小。将该方法应用于某厂房后山体既有建筑边坡安全评估,并与传统模糊理论二级综合评判值进行对比,结果表明该方法可行,评估结果更合理。研究成果可为既有建筑边坡工程的鉴定与评估提供了一种新的方法。

       

      Abstract: In the research of slope engineering safety assessment, most of the researches focus on new slope and failure slope, but few on existing buildings slope (operational slope), and the assessment method is still lacking. Therefore, according to the fuzzy reasoning method, we propose a method of safety assessment for existing building slope based on fuzzy Petri net. The method adopts the credibility and change confidence of safety evaluation factors of the existing building slope, and uses the subjective and objective comprehensive evaluation methods to give the weight. The method can not only get the final results on the safety evaluation of the existing building slope, but also can calculate the first-level risk indexes that have the largest impact on the existing building slope safety, and the additional influence of variable factors on the safety and stability of existing building slopes. The method is used to the slope safety assessment of existing building slope behind a stamping plant, and the evaluation results is compared with the second-level comprehensive evaluation value of traditional fuzzy theory. The result shows that the presented method is feasible and the evaluation result is more reasonable. This research provides a new method for the identification and safety evaluation of existing building slope.

       

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