GNSS实时监测在滑坡预警中的应用——以陕西省周至G108路段滑坡为例

    Application of GNSS real-time monitoring in landslide early warning: case of Landslide of G108 section in Zhouzhi County, Shannxi Province

    • 摘要: 根据滑坡变形曲线,一般将滑坡的变形划分为初始变形阶段、等速变形阶段和加速变形阶段。在此基础上提出了以变形速率、加速度、加加速度和位移切向角等参数作为滑坡的预警判据,但因监测数据获取的滞后性,滑坡临滑预报的准确性受到一定影响。全球导航卫星系统(GNSS)位移监测一体机可以获得滑坡的实时位移,从而计算出滑坡的变形速率。以陕西省周至G108路段滑坡为例,首先利用位移速率比定性评价滑坡所处阶段,随后通过对7个典型滑坡的位移曲线分析,发现速率比能很好地反映滑坡所处阶段。在定性基础上,提出瞬时日变形速率概念,利用实时监测数据计算出某一时刻的瞬时变形速率,并采用淘汰机制不断更新瞬时变形速率。实践表明:该方法能清楚反映滑坡状态,对滑坡的临滑预报有一定的借鉴意义。

       

      Abstract: According to the landslide deformation curve, the deformation stage usually is divided into initial deformation stage, constant velocity deformation stage and accelerated deformation stage. On the basis of these three stages, the scholars proposed to use the parameters of deformation rate, acceleration, acceleration jerk and displacement tangential angle as early warning criteria for landslides. But the monitoring data acquired lag makes a certain impact on the accuracy of the forecast just before sliding landslide. Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) integrated displacement monitoring machine can obtain the landslide real-time displacement, thus calculating the deformation rate of landslide. Taking the Landslide of G108 section in Zhouzhi County, Shannxi Province as the case, firstly using the displacement rate ratio to qualitatively evaluate the stage of landslide, and through the analysis of the displacement curves of seven typical landslides, it is found that rate ratio can well reflect the stage of the landslide. On the basis of qualitative analysis, the instantaneous deformation rate was proposed. We calculate the instantaneous deformation rate at a certain moment by using real-time monitoring data, and continuously update the instantaneous deformation rate with the updating mechanism. Engineering practice showed that this method can clearly reflect the state of landslide and has certain reference significance for critical sliding prediction of landslides.

       

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