不同大气强迫数据集对流域地表温度模拟的影响
Effect of different atmospheric forcing data sets on simulation of basin land surface temperature
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摘要: 为探讨不同大气强迫数据集对陆面模式模拟地表温度的影响,基于不同大气强迫数据集(CMFD,GSWP,CRU-NCEP)和通用陆面模式CLM 5.0,对黄河流域上中游冬、夏季地表温度的多驱动输出模拟结果进行对比分析。结果表明:(1) CLM5.0模式对地表温度具有良好的模拟性能;(2) 3种强迫数据集中,CMFD数据集驱动模式得到的夏季地表温度结果最好,偏差为0.54℃,均方根误差为0.63℃,相关系数为0.95;(3) GSWP数据集驱动模式得到的冬季地表温度结果最好,偏差为0.87℃,均方根误差为1.24℃,相关系数为0.95。因此,不同大气强迫数据集对陆面模式模拟地表温度的影响较大,在后续预测未来气候和水文过程时有必要选择最优大气强迫数据集驱动陆面模式。Abstract: In order to investigate influence of different atmospheric forcing data sets on land surface temperature(LST)simulation,we conducted three simulations for the upper and middle reaches of Yellow River Basin by using the CLM 5.0 driven by CMFD,GSWP and CRU-NCEP.The results showed that:(1) CLM 5.0 had good performance for simulation.(2) Simulated summer LST driven by CMFD had the best performance with a low bias of 0.54 ℃,a root mean square error(RMSE)of 0.63 ℃,and a correlation coefficient(R)of 0.95.(3) Winter LST driven by GSWP performed best with a bias of 0.87 ℃,RMSE of 1.24 ℃,and R up to 0.95.Therefore,different atmospheric forcing data sets had a greater impact on LST simulation based on land surface model.It is necessary to select the optimal atmospheric forcing data set to drive the land surface model in the prediction of future climate and hydrological processes.
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