盐城市水资源承载状态变化趋势及障碍因子分析

    Analysis on changing trend and obstacle factors of water resources carrying status of Yancheng City

    • 摘要: 为了明确盐城市水资源承载状态,选取协调发展度作为水资源承载状态的表征指标,采用基于博弈论的组合赋权法确定权重,对盐城市2008~2017年的水资源承载状态进行评价,并对障碍因子进行了分析。研究结果表明:(1)盐城市水资源承载状态整体呈好转趋势,等级由“差”发展为“中”,其中,2012年协调发展度最低,为0.296; 2015年协调发展度最高,达到0.721。(2)主要障碍因子为水功能区水质达标率、建成区植被覆盖率、污水集中处理率、人均GDP和生态用水占比,分析可知,水质相关指标障碍度较大,经济社会用水指标的障碍度较小且呈降低趋势。基于评价分析结果,对盐城市的截污限排、加强绿化以及改善水资源的承载状态提出了相应的整改建议和措施。

       

      Abstract: In order to clarify the water resources carrying status of Yancheng City,the coordinated development degree was selected as the evaluation index of the water resources carrying status and the combination weighting method based on game theory was used to determine the weights in the index.And the state of water resources carrying capacity of Yancheng City from 2008 to 2017 was evaluated and the obstacle factors were analyzed.The results showed that the overall water resources carrying status of Yancheng City was improving continuously,turning from poor to medium.The lowest coordinated development degree was 0.296 in 2012 and the highest degree was 0.721 in 2015.The main obstacle factors were the water quality standard rate of water function area,vegetation coverage rate in built-up area,centralized sewage treatment rate,per capita GDP and the proportion of ecological water use.The obstacles of water quality related index was relatively large,and the obstacles of economic and social water use index were relatively small and tend to decrease.Based on the results of evaluation and analysis,some suggestions and measures were put forward for Yancheng City to improve the water resources carrying state,such as wastewater interception and emission limitation,strengthening greening and so on.

       

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