基于AHP-熵权法的南昌市洪涝风险评估

    Flood risk assessment of Nanchang City based on AHP and Entropy Method

    • 摘要: 为完善南昌市城市灾害风险评估,构建了南昌市洪涝风险系数图。通过AHP-熵权法获取南昌市各乡村的洪涝因子权重指标,并绘制了南昌市洪涝灾害风险评估分布图;利用高分卫星影像图提取洪涝点,检验研究方法的准确度和实用性。研究结果表明:南昌市洪涝风险主要分布在赣江以南的老城区以及靠近鄱阳湖地段河网密布的北部区域;主要原因是两地地势平坦、降雨量较为集中,发生洪涝灾害的可能性较高,老城区人口密度集中且经济较为发达,洪涝灾害造成的直接经济损失较大。

       

      Abstract: To improve the urban disaster risk assessment of Nanchang City, a flood risk coefficient map of Nanchang City was constructed.The AHP analytic hierarchy process and the entropy weight method were used to obtain flood factor weight indicators of the villages in Nanchang, and draw a flood disaster risk assessment distribution map in Nanchang.Using high-resolution satellite imagery to extract flood points, the accuracy and practicability of the research method were tested.The results show that Nanchang flood risk is mainly distributed in the old city, south of the Ganjiang River and the northern area with a dense river network near Poyang Lake.The main reasons are that these areas are flat, rainfall is relatively concentrated, and the possibility of flooding is relatively high.The population density of the old city is concentrated and the economy is relatively developed, so the direct economic loss caused by floods is relatively large.

       

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