湄公河流域缺资料地区水资源量评估方法探讨——以老挝南乌河和柬埔寨洞里萨湖为例

    Study on eco-hydrological regime alteration in lower reaches of Mekong River

    • 摘要: 在部分地区,实测水文资料匮乏制约了流域水资源量的评估,流域由于“汛期成湖、枯期成河”的典型特征更是增加了对缺资料地区进行水资源量评估的困难。选择老挝南乌河(河流流域)和柬埔寨洞里萨湖(湖泊流域)2个典型流域,采用遥感数据以及再分析气象产品驱动分布式水文模型探讨了实测水文资料条件不足时的河流和湖泊流域水资源量的评估方法。研究结果表明:流域分布式水文模型在河流流域进行水资源量评估的适用性较好,在湖泊流域进行水文模拟时,需要考虑利用湖区水位面积曲线计算湖泊动态水面面积。研究成果可为缺少实测水文资料地区的水资源配置研究提供科学的水文基础支撑。

       

      Abstract: Due to the intensification of human activities, the eco-hydrological regime in the lower reaches of Mekong River has changed. In order to quantitatively evaluate the hydrological regime alteration of the lower Mekong River, based on the daily flow data (from 1961 to 2020) at Kratie hydrological station, Mann-Kendall mutation test and sliding t test method were used to analyze the trend characteristics of annual mean flow, and the RVA method was used to evaluate the eco-hydrological regime alteration and its ecological impact in the lower reaches of Mekong River. The results showed that: ① The annual mean flow at Kratie station generally decreased first and then increased. The mutation year occurred in 1996, indicating that the impact of human activities on the hydrology of the downstream in Mekong was intensified since 1996. ② The overall hydrological change degree at Kratie Station in the lower Mekong river was 57.99%, which was a moderate change. The hydrological indicators in the dry season were most affected. ③ The intervention of human activities has increased the flow of the lower Mekong River in the dry season, and imposed little impact on the flow in the wet season. It is necessary to enhance the monitoring on water ecology to prevent the adverse impact of hydrological regime alteration on ecology. This study can provide theoretical support for the study of hydrological regime alteration in the lower reaches of Mekong River.

       

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