基于浅水流模型的广州市大坪泥石流预测与防治

    Prediction and prevention of debris flow disaster in Daping gully of Guangzhou City based on shallow water flow model

    • 摘要: 暴雨是导致山区泥石流的重要因素,不同降雨条件下泥石流冲出范围的预测仍是泥石流防治的重点,而设计合理的拦挡坝方案可达到防灾减灾的目的。以广州市大坪沟泥石流为例,采用复杂地形条件的浅水流建模技术,对泥石流的运动过程和防治开展数值模拟。结果表明:(1)不同降雨阈值条件下,泥石流的流深和流速随降雨频率的降低而增大。当降雨频率设计值为0.5%时,泥石流沿河道堆积长度可达800 m,危险性较大。(2)以流深为标准对模拟结果进行危险性划分,提出泥石流危害指数(HI)。(3)结合地形重构技术对拦挡坝方案进行数值模拟,在沟内A、B两点设置不同高度的拦挡坝,确定了在A点设置15 m高的拦挡坝为最佳方案。研究结果可为国内外类似案例提供参考。

       

      Abstract: Rainstorm is an important factor leading to debris flows in mountainous areas, prediction on debris flow erosion range under different rainfall conditions is still the focus of debris flow prevention and control. In order to prevent and reduce disasters, it is necessary to design a reasonable dam scheme. Taking the debris flow of Daping gully in Guangzhou City as an example, the movement process and prevention of debris flow are numerically simulated by using the shallow water flow modeling technology with complex topographic conditions. The results are as follows: ① the flow depth and velocity of debris flow increase with the decrease of rainfall frequency under different rainfall thresholds. When the rainfall frequency is 0.5%, the length of debris flow accumulation along the river channel will be 800 m, which is of great danger. ② Danger levels of the gully are clarified based on flow depth according to the simulation results,and a debris flow hazard index (HI) is proposed. ③ Combined with the Terrain Reconstruction Technology, different retaining dams are simulated. In the simulation, retaining dams with different heights are set at points A and B in the gully, and the best scheme is to set a retaining dam of 15 m at point A. The research results can provide reference for similar cases at home and abroad.

       

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