GPM IMERG卫星降水数据在广西地区适用性分析

    Study on availability of surface water resources in plain area based on generalized reservoir model: case of river network area of Lixiahe Plain

    • 摘要: 为对比评估最新IMERG V6版本的3种卫星降水数据(Early、Late和Final)在广西地区的适用性,利用广西18个地面站点降水数据,选用7个评价指数从降水量误差、季节平均降水量、降水事件探测能力等多方面进行综合评估。结果表明:(1) 3种卫星降水数据与站点降水数据相关性随时间尺度增加均呈递增趋势,在月尺度上表现出较好的探测能力,但三者均存在均方根误差RMSE的时间累积效应。(2) 3种卫星降水数据对广西各季节平均降水量有一定的表征能力,但不同季节差异明显,在冬季的精度表现相对较差。(3) 3种卫星降水数据在地形和气象因素复杂地区的误差较大,降水探测能力存在一定的不足。(4) 3种卫星降水数据均能探测不同强度的降水,在雨季对降水事件识别能力较好,但降水强度加大使卫星探测降水事件准确率下降。总体上,校正延时IMERG-F精度略优于未校正近实时的IMERG-E和IMERG-L,在广西地区具有一定的适用性,但校正过程也存在加重降水量高估程度的现象。

       

      Abstract: Rational development and utilization of water resources is a key to alleviate the contradiction between supply and demand of water resources. In plain areas, the water sources interlace, so the incoming water and local water cannot be calculated separately. Therefore, it is of great value to propose a calculation method of water resource availability in the region. Taking Lixiahe area, a typical plain river network of Jiangsu Province, as an example, this paper constructed a generalized reservoir regulation and storage model in plain area to calculate the water resource availability under 24 scenarios (different engineering water intake capacities, inflow frequencies, ecological water levels). The results showed that under the current, planned and future project water intake capacities, the water resource availability in the Lixiahe area was in the range of 8.101 billion ~9.799 billion m3, 9.573 billion ~10.490 billion m3 and 9.380 billion~11.441 billion m3, respectively, which were positively correlated with the inflow water and the project water intake capacity, but decreased with the increase of ecological water level. Based on the calculation results, in order to alleviate the shortage of water resources in the study area, it is suggested authority take measures such as construction of the water pumping projects and the optimization of the water supply pipe network. The research results have practical and reference value.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回