基于概化水库模型的地表水资源可利用量研究——以里下河平原河网区为例

    Trade price of water volume for inter-basin water transfer project based on marginal cost: case of Phase I of Middle Route of South-to-North Water Diversion Project

    • 摘要: 合理开发利用水资源是减缓供需矛盾的关键。平原区水源交织,入境水与本地水无法进行区分计算,故提出了针对这类区域特征下的水资源可利用量的计算方法。在此基础上,以里下河区为例,构建了概化水库调蓄模型,对24种情景(不同工程取水能力、来水频率、生态水位)下的水资源可利用量进行计算。结果表明:在现状、规划、远景工程取水能力下,里下河区的水资源可利用量分别介于81.01亿~97.99亿、95.73亿~104.90亿m3和93.80亿~114.41亿m3之间,与来水及工程取水能力均呈正相关关系,但随着生态水位的调高呈下降的趋势。基于计算结果,为了减缓研究区域的资源短缺问题,建议在里下河区应采取兴建引提水骨干工程、优化供水管网等措施。研究成果具有实用和参考价值。

       

      Abstract: At present, the average cost method is used to fix the transaction price of water between the users of water transfer across basins in China, which is easy to cause the problems of repeated inclusion of costs and low efficiency of resource allocation. In order to solve the above problems, based on the theory of marginal cost, combined with the mechanism of water supply cost and water transaction characteristics of water conservancy projects, an inter-provincial water transaction price model for the benefited water transfer users was established, and the method for determining the parameters of the model was proposed. The study calculated water trade price of Beijing City and Hebei Province alone the Phase I of Middle Route of South-to-North Water Diversion Project. The results show that: ① If using existed main line of Beijing section of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project to transfer water from Hebei Province to Beijing City, the transaction price of water is 1.18 yuan/m3. ② If transferring water to Beijing City through the new Gu'an branch line, the trade price of water is 1.40~1.45 yuan/m3. ③ Engineering variable cost is the main component of marginal cost, and the trade price of pressurized diversion scheme is generally higher than that of gravity flow diversion scheme.

       

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