Abstract:
It is important to understand temporal and spatial distribution of extreme precipitation for the overall regional assessment of the risk of abnormal precipitation. Based on daily precipitation data of 25 meteorological stations in Qinghai Province during 1961 to 2020, 10 extreme precipitation indices were selected, and further temporal and spatial distribution of extreme precipitation were analyzed by using linear trend estimation, cumulative anomaly and GIS. The results showed as follows: the precipitation in Qinghai Province has been increasing at a rate of 1.16 mm/a in the past 60 years. Precipitation throughout the year was extremely uneven in time distribution, with rainy season from May to September and dry season from October to April of the next year. In terms of spatial distribution, precipitation increased gradually from north to south and from west to east. The extreme precipitation events in Qinghai Province have changed significantly in time and space. Except that the precipitation intensity, the longest days without precipitation and the longest days with precipitation decreased with the time series, the other seven indices showed an increasing trend with different degrees, among which the total precipitation and heavy precipitation increased significantly. Extreme precipitation events decreased from east to west and from south to north, and they occured more frequently in the northern region than in the southern region. In recent 60 years, four abrupt changes in the total precipitation were observed. Typical years of abnormally high precipitation were 1967, 1988 and 2018, and typical year of abnormally low precipitation was 1965. The numbers of typically abnormal years with moderate rain and heavy rain were relatively too much, with the maximum value in 2018. The trend rates of precipitation at all stations in Qinghai Province ranged from -4.6 mm/10a to 27.8 mm/10a. The precipitations at almost all stations showed increasing trends, and only the annual precipitation of Henan Station decreased, indicating that precipitation in Qinghai Province gradually increased in the past 60 years. The research results can provide reference for water resources utilization and disaster risk management in Qinghai Province