应对2022年枯水的长江上游水库群联合调度方案

    Study on joint operation scheme of reservoirs in upper reaches of Yangtze River for low water in 2022

    • 摘要: 2022年长江汛期来水特枯,针对2022~2023年长江枯季来水预测持续偏少,长江上游水库群2022年9月初蓄水量严重不足,枯水期抗旱保供水困难等问题,充分考虑特枯水条件下的调度约束,分阶段明确蓄水期、枯水期调度目标,研究并提出了保障长江流域供水和航运等多目标需求的联合调度方案,并在实时调度中付诸实践。结果表明:以提出的联合调度方案为指导,2022年11月上旬长江上游水库群最大蓄水量495.9亿m3,取得了良好的蓄水成效;枯水期(12月至次年4月),长江上游水库群有能力实施联合补水调度维持三峡水库下泄流量在7 000~7 500 m3/s,可基本保障长江中下游干流的供水、航运、发电、生态等需求。

       

      Abstract: Under the background of extreme dry water in the flood season of 2022,in addition, the water flow forecasting to be persistent low in the following dry season from 2022 to 2023,there were serious shortage conditions of water storage for the cascaded reservoirs in early September, and difficulties in water supply during the dry season.Through fully considering scheduling constraints under extra dry water conditions, we clarified the scheduling targets for the storage and supply water season in stages, and proposed a joint scheduling plan to guarantee the multi-target demand for water supply and navigation in the Yangtze River basin, and real-time forecast scheduling has been put into practice.The result reveal that the maximum storage capacity of the upstream cascaded reservoirs of the Yangtze River in early November reached 49.59 billion m3,which has achieved good water storage effect.And during the dry period(from December to April in next year),the upstream cascaded reservoirs is capable of implementing joint elimination scheduling to maintain the discharge flow of the Three Gorges dam at 7 000~7 500 m3/s, which can basically guarantee the demand for water supply, ecology, navigation and power generation in the middle and lower reaches of the main stream.

       

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