长江上游水库群调蓄对下游电站发电能力影响分析

    Analysis on impact of reservoir group regulation in upper reaches of Changjiang River on power generation capacity of downstream power stations

    • 摘要: 随着长江上游水利工程的陆续兴建投运,干流年来水量和径流年内分配过程发生显著变化,势必对下游水库群调度运行造成较大影响。以长江上游干支流水库群为研究对象,建立上游干支流水库群运行模拟模型以及金沙江下游-三峡梯级水库群联合发电优化调度模型,重点分析中长期尺度上游干支流水库群调蓄对金沙江下游-三峡梯级电站发电能力的影响。研究结果表明:上游干支流水库群调蓄极大地改变了溪洛渡及三峡水库来水年内分配,提高了枯期来水占比,进一步提高了梯级电站发电能力;丰水年条件下,梯级总发电量增加了1.22%,总弃水量减少了14.11%;枯水年条件下,梯级总发电量增加了3.16%,总弃水量减少了15.67%。

       

      Abstract: With the successive construction and operation of water conservancy projects in the upper reaches of Changjiang River, significant changes have taken place in the distribution of annual water inflow and runoff in the main stream, which will inevitably have a huge impact on the operation of downstream reservoirs.Taking the reservoir groupin the upper reaches of Changjiang River as the research object, an operation simulation model for the upstream main and branch reservoirs and an optimal dispatch model for the joint power generation of cascade reservoirs from lower reaches of Jinsha River to Three Gorges Reservoir were established, and the impact of reservoir group regulation in the upper reaches on the power generation capacity of cascade reservoirs in lower reaches, from lower Jinsha River to Three Gorges Reservoir, in the medium and long-term scale were analyzed in detail.The research show that the regulation of upstream main and branch reservoirs would greatly change the distribution of annual water inflowof Xiluodu Reservoir and Three Gorges Reservoir, increase the proportion of inflow in dry season, and further improve the power generation capacity of cascade hydropower stations.Under the condition of wet year, the total power generations of cascade hydropower stations would increase by 1.22%,and the total abandoned water would decrease by 14.11%;in dry years, the total power generation would increase by 3.16%,and the total abandoned water would decrease by 15.67%.

       

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