2022年长江口夏季咸潮入侵及影响机制研究

    Dynamic mechanism of saltwater intrusion at Yangtze River estuary in summer, 2022

    • 摘要: 2022年长江流域降雨、干支流来水均严重偏少,江湖水位持续走低,发生了1961年有完整记录以来最严重的流域性气象水文干旱。受此影响,2022年8月下旬长江河口就遭遇咸潮入侵,为有咸潮入侵监测记录以来历史最早,随后入侵增强并持续影响长江口。针对2022年长江口罕见的夏秋季节咸潮入侵事件,利用长江口岸基、浮标观测资料,分析了2022年洪季咸潮入侵的变化过程,并结合FVCOM咸潮入侵数值模型,量化分析径流、潮汐及台风事件对咸潮入侵的影响。结果表明:2022年夏季长江径流量为历史极低值,导致长江口咸潮入侵时间提前,入侵频率增加,上溯距离增大,河道北侧盐度显著高于南侧。在低径流情况下咸潮入侵呈现显著的涨落潮、大小周期性变化,其中小潮后期为盐度的快速上升期,大潮至中潮位为盐度缓慢下降时段。除此之外,持续的偏北风会有利于外海水体向海内输送,导致水位抬升,增强咸潮入侵。2022年9月在北向型台风“轩岚诺”和“南玛都”的影响下,随着涨潮流的作用,长江口咸潮入侵程度在9月21日达到最大,上溯至东风西沙水库北部约10 km处。研究成果可为进一步认识长江口咸潮入侵规律及机理提供依据。

       

      Abstract: In 2022,the rainfall in the Yangtze River Basin and the water discharge from the main tributaries were severely low, and the water level of rivers and lakes continued to decline, the worst basin-wide meteorological and hydrological drought occurred since complete records began in 1961.Affected by this, the Yangtze River estuary had encountered saltwater intrusion in late August 2022,which was the earliest event monitored.The saltwater intrusion was then intensified and continued to affect the Yangtze River estuary.This study analyzed the dynamic process of saltwater intrusion in the flood season by using the data of the Yangtze River estuary observation system including shore stations and buoys.FVCOM numerical model was used to quantify the effects of runoff, tides and typhoon events on saltwater intrusion.The summer runoff in 2022 was the lowest in history, resulting in the earliest saltwater intrusion, with the frequency as well as the intrusion distance both increased.The salinity on the north side of the river was significantly higher than that on the south side.The saltwater intrusion under low runoff conditions showed a significant variation with tide from flood-ebb to spring-neap cycles.During late neap tide, there was rapid increasing in salinity.It then turned to slow decrease of salinity during spring and transient tide.In addition, the persistent northerly winds also enhanced the magnitude of saltwater intrusion resulting from increased onshore water transport and raised water levels.In September 2022,under the influence of Hinnamnor and Nanmadol typhoons, the saltwater intrusion reached up to about 10 km north of the Dongfengxisha Reservoir during the flood tide period.The saltwater intrusion reached its greatest extent on September 21.

       

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