干旱河谷生态服务价值与景观生态风险时空演变

    Spatial-temporal evolution of ecosystem service value and landscape ecological risk in dry valleys

    • 摘要: 基于2000~2020年高精度土地利用数据,利用生态系统服务价值(ESV)和景观生态风险指数(LERI)评估模型、双变量空间自相关模型、地理探测器,探究安宁河流域和白龙江流域ESV和LERI的时空演变、关联和分异特征。结果表明:安宁河流域和白龙江流域土地利用以林草为主;城镇扩张影响下两地ESV和LERI均呈降低趋势,ESV以低和中等等级为主,LERI以极低和低等级为主;ESV和LERI具有显著空间负相关性且两者关系以高价值-低风险和低价值-高风险为主;人类活动对两地ESV和LERI空间分异起主导作用;林地和草地是两流域ESV的重要来源,建设用地的激增使两流域ESV不断减少、LERI有所降低。需因地制宜完善用地结构,加强林草及水域保护,合理控制城镇扩张,推动流域土地利用结构可持续发展。

       

      Abstract: Based on the high-precision land use data of Anning River Basin and Bailong River Basin from 2000 to 2020,the ecosystem service value(ESV) and landscape ecological riskindex(LERI) assessment model, bivariate spatial autocorrelation model and Geodetector were used to explore the spatio-temporal evolution, correlation and differentiation characteristics of ESV and LERI in different dry valleys.The results indicated that forest and grass dominated the Anning River Basin and Bailong River Basin.With the influence of urban expansion, ESV and LERI showed a decreasing trend.ESV was mainly in low and medium grade, while LERI was mainly in extremely low and low grade.ESV and LERI had significant negative spatial correlation, and the relationship between ESV and LERI were dominated by high value-low risk and low value-high risk.Human activities played a leading role in spatial differentiation of ESV and LERI.Forestland and grassland were important sources of ESV in the two basins, and the surge of construction land leaded to the continuous decreasing of ESV and LERI in the two basins.It is necessary to improve land use structure according to local conditions, strengthen protection of forest, grass and water area, control urban expansion reasonably, and promote sustainable development of land use structure in watershed.

       

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