伊犁河流域陆表水域面积时空变化及驱动力分析

    Spatio-temporal variation and driving force analysis of water area on land surface in Ili River Basin

    • 摘要: 为探究伊犁河流域陆表水域面积时空变化及其驱动因素,为跨境水资源确权与分配提供依据,利用全球地表水数据集研究2001~2020年伊犁河流域陆表水域面积时空变化,并结合降水、温度和土地利用数据进行驱动力分析。结果表明:(1) 2001~2020年伊犁河流域陆表水域面积增加661 km2,主要增加在中国境外巴尔喀什湖南部和境内流域。(2) 20 a间大于1 km2的陆表水域增加41个,大于5 km2的陆表水域增加14个,巴尔喀什湖水体面积呈先增加后稳定的趋势,卡普恰盖水库水体面积呈下降趋势。(3)中国境内陆表水域面积受气候因素影响较小,土地利用类型变化是境内陆表水域面积变化主导因素;耕地面积变化是影响境外陆表水域面积变化的主导因素。研究成果可为伊犁河流域土地利用规划及流域水资源合理分配提供科学支撑。

       

      Abstract: To explore the spatio-temporal variation and driving force for water area on land surface in the Ili River Basin, and to provide a basis for the right confirmation and allocation of transboundary water resources, the global surface water dataset was used to study the spatio-temporal variation of land surface water area in the Ili River Basin from 2001 to 2020,during which the precipitation, temperature and land use data were taken into consideration.The results showed that:(1) The land surface water area in the Ili River Basin increased by 661 km2 from 2001 to 2020,the growth mainly located in the southern part of Balkhash Lake outside China and the basin inside China.(2) In the past 20 years, the number of water range larger than 1 km2 increased by 41 while that of larger than 5 km2 increased by 14.The water area of Balkhash Lake showed a fluctuation of increasing and then stabilizing, and the water area of Kapchagay Reservoir showed a declining trend.(3) The land surface water area inside China was rarely affected by climatic factors, the alteration of land use types was the dominant factor causing the change of water range.The change of arable land area was the dominant factor affecting the waters range outside China.The research results can provide scientific support for land use planning and rational allocation of water resources in the Ili River Basin.

       

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