嘉陵江流域旱涝急转演变规律及其对径流影响研究

    Study on evolution law of drought - flood abrupt alternation and its influence on runoff in Jialing River Basin

    • 摘要: 针对气象旱涝转换对流域径流影响的问题 ,基于嘉陵江流域逐 日 降水量和流量数据 ,采用长 、短周期 旱 涝急转指数方法 ,揭示了旱涝急转时空分布特征与演变规律 , 定量评估了径流变化对不同旱涝急转类型的响 应程度。结果表明:1977 ~ 2022 年 ,嘉陵江流域共发生了 8 次汛期旱涝急转事件 ,其中 6 次发 生 在 2004 年 及 之后 ; 空间上 , 南部 、中部以及西北部地区发生旱涝急转的频率较大 ,在 17% 以上;在月尺度上 ,6 ~ 7 月 发生旱 涝急转的频率最大 ,超过了 20% o 当汛期发生涝转旱时 , 北碚 、罗渡溪 、武胜以及小河坝等站的前半汛期流量 相比常年平均增长 了 57 . 52% ,38 . 74% ,85 . 50% 和 99 . 73% ,后 半 汛 期 流 量 相 对 常 年 平 均 偏 低 了 20 . 82% , 49 . 83% ,22 . 64% 和 14 . 53% ; 而 在 旱 转 涝 影 响 下 , 上 述 站 点 前 半 汛 期 流 量 较 常 年 平 均减 少 了 31 . 17% , 45 . 77% ,28 . 83%和 26 . 16% ,后半汛期流量较常年分别增长了 31 . 45% ,47 . 17% ,24 . 31% 和 3 . 27% ; 月 尺 度 上也表现出相似规律 ,表明旱涝急转对嘉陵江径流有着显著影响。研究成果可为梯级水库科学调度 、流域 水 安全保障提供参考。

       

      Abstract: Aiming at the influence of transition Between meteorological drought and flood on runoff ,Based on the daily precipitation and flow data in Jialing River Basin ,the spatio- temporal distribution and evolution laws of drought - flood abrupt alternation were analyzed by long - term and short - term drought - flood abrupt alternation indexes ,and the response degree of runoff changes to different types of abrupt alternation was quantitatively evaluated. The results showed that there have been 8 drought - flood abrupt alternation events in the Jialing River Basin during the flood season from 1977 to2022 ,6 of which occurred in the 2000s and after. Spatially ,the frequencies of drought - flood abrupt alternation in southern areas ,central areas ,and the surrounding areas of the northwest were the largest above 17% . On the monthly scale ,the highest frequency appeared in the period from June to July ,which was beyond 20% . When flood - to-drought turns occurred in the flood season ,the runoff of BeiBei ,Luoduxi ,Wusheng , and Xiaoheba stations in the first half flood season increased by 57 . 52% ,38 . 74% ,85 . 50% ,and 99 . 73% on average , and reduced by 20 . 82% ,49 . 83% ,22 . 64% and 14 . 53% on average in the second half period. Inversely , under the influence of the drought - to- flood events ,the first half runoff of those stations decreased by 31 . 17% ,45 . 77% ,28 . 83% ,and 26 . 16% on average ,and increased by 31 . 45% ,47 . 17% ,24 . 31% , and 3 . 27% respectively in the latter half period. The monthly scale also showed similar laws ,indicating that drought - flood abrupt alternation had a significant impact on the runoff of the Jialing River. The research results can provide scientificreference for the operation of cascade reservoirs and watershed water security .

       

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