面向光伏出力不确定性的混蓄电站运行方式研究

    Study on operation mode of hybrid storage power station considering uncertainty of photovoltaic output

    • 摘要: 为探究混合式抽水蓄能电站在不同光伏出力场景下的水光混蓄互补运行方式,构建基于生成式对抗网络(GAN)的光伏出力场景生成模型,以表征光伏出力的不确定性,并构建以源荷差异最小、系统发电量最大及梯级蓄能增量最大为目标的互补调度模型。采用Fibonacci-PSO算法对模型进行优化求解。结果表明:相比无混蓄电站运行模式,混合式抽水蓄能电站能够更好地调整系统出力与电网负荷需求相匹配,并在丰水期利用水电弃水进行发电,增加系统发电量,提高资源利用率;混蓄电站在丰水期内主要进行夜间发电,而在平水期与枯水期则进行夜间发电和日间抽水;其运行方式在丰水期内提升了4.4%~12.4%的发电量,并在平水期和枯水期通过抽水减少系统出力与电网负荷的差异,使得互补发电系统能够精准响应负荷需求。研究证明,所提出的方法对提升清洁能源消纳能力具有重要意义。

       

      Abstract: To explore the complementary operation of hybrid pumped storage power stations under different photovoltaic (PV) output scenarios, we developed a photovoltaic output scenario generation model based on generative adversarial networks (GANs) to characterize the uncertainty of PV output, and constructed a complementary scheduling model aimed at minimizing source load differences, maximizing system power generation, and maximizing energy storage increments of cascade hydropower stations. We optimized the model using the Fibonacci-PSO algorithm. The results showed that the hybrid pumped storage power plant, compared to the mode without such a hybrid plant, can better adjust system output to match grid load demand and utilize water power during high-water periods for power generation, increasing system power generation and resource utilization. The hybrid pumped storage plant primarily generates electricity in nights during high-water periods, while during medium and low-water periods, it generates electricity in nights and pumps water during days. This operation mode increases power generation by 4.4% to 12.4% during high-water periods and reduces the discrepancy between system output and grid load through pumping during medium and low-water periods, allowing the complementary power generation system to respond precisely to load demand. The study demonstrated that the proposed method significantly enhances the ability to incorporate clean energies.

       

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