金沙江下游梯级水库消落期末水位上浮策略研究

    Study on strategy of operation water level rising at end of drawdown period for cascade reservoirs in lower reaches of Jinsha River

    • 摘要: 消落期末运行水位上浮是水库增加发电量、减少弃水量、提升综合效益的有效方式,但运行水位上浮应科学协调防洪与兴利的关系。以金沙江下游梯级水库(乌东德、白鹤滩、溪洛渡和向家坝梯级水库)为研究对象,在概括分析消落期末流域不同河段洪水特性的基础上,明确了金下梯级水库为不同河段的防洪库容预留需求和消落期末运行水位上浮的研究思路;基于典型洪水特性分析和梯级水库整体运用策略,提出了消落期末运行水位上浮条件和运用方式,讨论了潜在的防洪风险及应对措施。研究结果表明:消落期末, 当金下梯级水库不需要防洪调度、城陵矶莲花塘站水位和洞庭湖四水合成流量满足一定条件时,梯级水库整体可按照汛限水位以上不超过10.55亿m3库容上浮运用,且推荐上浮库容优先分配至溪洛渡水库,在保证防洪安全的前提下,可有效提高梯级水库的综合效益。

       

      Abstract: The operation water level rising at the end of drawdown period is an effective way for reservoirs to increase power generation, reduce water abandonment, and enhance comprehensive benefits.However, the operation water level rising should scientifically coordinate the relationship between flood control and beneficial use.This article took the cascade reservoirs in the lower reaches of Jinsha River as the research object, based on the comprehensive analysis of flood characteristics in different river sections at the end of drawdown period, the flood control capacity requirements for different river sections were clarified, and the overall research route was proposed.According to the characteristics analysis of typical floods and operation strategies for cascade reservoirs, the conditions and manners for the operation water level rising at the end of drawdown period were proposed.Finally, the potential flood control risks were analyzed and the countermeasures were put forward.The results show that the cascade reservoirs can operate above the flood control limit level with a storage capacity of no more than 1.055 billion cubic meter, when the water level of the Lianhuatang station and the discharge after confluence of the four rivers of Dongting Lake meet certain conditions.Meanwhile, it′s recommended the storage capacity be preferentially allocated to the Xiluodu Reservoir, which can effectively improve the comprehensive benefits of the cascade reservoirs as well as to ensure flood control safety.

       

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