金沙江下游梯级水库7月洪水资源利用策略研究

    Study on utilization strategy of flood resources in July for cascade reservoirs in lower reaches of Jinsha River

    • 摘要: 在保证防洪安全的前提下合理利用汛期洪水资源是提高水库综合效益的有效途径。以金沙江下游梯级水库整体为研究对象,结合梯级水库防洪库容分区域的预留安排和典型洪水特性,对梯级水库7月洪水资源运用策略进行了系统研究,提出了以莲花塘站水位为主要控制指标、结合短中期气象水文预报的汛期运行水位动态控制运用条件,探讨了梯级水库7月可用于洪水资源利用的库容量级,分析了存在的主要防洪风险并提出了应对措施。研究结果表明:7月上旬,当预报莲花塘站水位不超32.00 m且洞庭湖水系无中等强度以上降雨过程时,金沙江下游梯级水库可考虑通过逐步上浮运行水位的形式开展洪水资源利用;在保证防洪安全的前提下,推荐7月底梯级水库最大可上浮运用约90亿m3防洪库容。研究成果可为梯级水库汛期调度运行提供有力支撑。

       

      Abstract: Rational utilization of flood resources while ensuring flood control safety is an effective way to improve comprehensive benefits of reservoirs.This paper took the cascade reservoirs in the lower reaches of Jinsha River as the research object.Based on the reservation of flood control capacity for different sub-regions and the typical flood characteristics, we systematically studied how to make full use of the flood resources of cascade reservoirs in July.The operation strategies of dynamic control of operating water level during flood season for cascade reservoirs in the lower reaches of Jinsha River were put forward, in which the water level at the Lianhuatang Station was selected as the main control index, and applying conditions of cascade reservoirs that can be put into flood resources utilization in July were discussed based on the short and medium term hydro-meteorological forecast.Finally, the potential flood control risks were analyzed and the countermeasures were proposed.The results showed that the utilization of flood resources in the form of gradually rising water levels could be implemented when the water level at the Lianhuatang Station was forecasted to be no more than 32.00 m as well as Dongting Lake water system has no rainfall process of medium intensity or above during the first ten days of July.It is recommended that the cascade reservoirs as a whole can be operated with a floating-up capacity of no more than 9 billion m3 above the flood limit water level at the end of July while ensuring flood control safety.The research results can provide strong support for the operation of cascade reservoirs in flood season.

       

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