高寒生态脆弱区水平衡时空变化及其影响因素分析

    Spatio-temporal variations of water balance and its influencing factors in alpine ecologically fragile area

    • 摘要: 定量识别水平衡时空变化的影响因素及其贡献是进行流域水资源合理开发利用的前提。为探究高寒生态脆弱区的水平衡动态及其关键影响因素,以2001~2020年青藏高原腹地巴塘河流域水文显著变化期为研究时段,综合应用多源遥感等数据并结合气象站点、水文站点等观测数据,对流域降水、蒸散发与径流等水循环要素的水平衡进行分析。结果表明:①近20 a来,流域降水量和径流量呈现显著增加的变化趋势,年增加率分别为10.94 mm/a和0.111亿m3/a;而蒸散量也呈现增加的变化趋势但不显著,年均增加率为8.27 mm/a。②从水平衡角度来看,2001~2020年降水-蒸散量差值以0.32 mm/a的速率增加,这与流域地表径流量呈现增加的趋势一致,表明流域整体可用水量上升;2001~2020年整个流域的多年降水-蒸散量差值平均值为178.02 mm,东南部地区降水-蒸散量差值较高,西北部地区较低; 流域各土地利用类型降水-蒸散量差值为正值,介于0.009亿~6.767亿m3之间。③非生物因素中,蒸散量(ET)与气温存在显著的正相关关系,相关系数为0.413;生物因素中,ET与植被覆盖具有高度相关性;在非生长季节,ET主要受到气象因子的影响,而在生长季主要受植被的影响。降水变化和人类活动对天然径流变化的影响程度分别为79.55%和20.45%,表明径流主要受到气候因子的影响。研究成果可为高寒生态脆弱区水资源科学管理以及水平衡调控提供参考。

       

      Abstract: Quantitative identification of influencing factors and their contributions to the spatio-temporal variations of water balance is a prerequisite for the rational utilization of water resources.To investigate the water balance dynamic and its key influencing factors in the alpine ecologically fragile area, we take the period from 2001 to 2020 with significant hydrological changes in the Batang River Basin located in the midst of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau as the research period.By comprehensively utilizing multi-source remote sensing data and observation data including meteorological stations and hydrological stations, the water cycle components including precipitation, evapotranspiration, and runoff in the basin are analyzed.The results showed that: ① precipitation and runoff have displayed significant increases in the past 20 years, with annual growth rates of 10.94 mm/a and 0.111×108 m3/a, respectively.The evapotranspiration showed an insignificant increasing trend, with an annual increasing rate of 8.27 mm/a.② From the perspective of water balance, the difference between precipitation and evapotranspiration increased at a rate of 0.32 mm/a during 2001 to 2020, which was consistent with the increasing trend in surface runoff, indicating an overall increase in available water in this watershed.The average difference between precipitation and evapotranspiration of the entire watershed was 178.02 mm, with higher values in the southeast and lower values in the northwest.The differences between precipitation and evapotranspiration of various land use types were positive, ranging from 0.009×108 to 6.767×108 m3.③ Among abiotic factors, there was a significant positive correlation between ET and temperature (r=0.413).Among biological factors, ET was highly correlated with vegetation coverage.ET was mainly affected by meteorological factors in the non-growing season.And, ET was highly correlated with vegetation cover in growing seasons.The impacts of precipitation changes and human activities on natural runoff were 79.55% and 20.45%, respectively, indicating that runoff was relatively affected by climate factors.The results can provide a reference for scientific management of water resources and water balance regulation in alpine ecologically fragile area.

       

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