白鹤滩象鼻岭人工半岛变形监测及长期沉降预测

    Study on deformation monitoring and long-term settlement prediction of Xiangbiling artificial peninsula in reservoir region of Baihetan Hydropower Station

    • 摘要: 白鹤滩水电站水库蓄水后,象鼻岭居民安置点形成了三面环水的高填方人工半岛,其变形问题备受关注。利用GNSS技术对人工半岛防护堤进行了全天候、高精度的远程变形监测和分析;同时,通过工程类比法构建了土石混合体的湿化应变模型和流变模型,并结合分层总和法预测了人工半岛的长期沉降趋势。结果表明:防护堤监测点的位移随水位升降呈现规律性波动,其累计值及变化速率均符合规范要求,说明防护堤具有良好的稳定性;预测结果与监测数据基本一致,验证了模型的准确性和预测方法的有效性;湿化和浮力效应是控制沉降的主要因素,湿化沉降对总沉降量的贡献远超流变沉降;防护堤位移随水位变化的波动主要是由水的浮力效应引起的;金沙江和小江两侧防护堤的最大长期累计沉降预测值分别约为18 mm和14 mm。

       

      Abstract: After the impoundment of the Baihetan Hydropower Station, the Xiangbiling Resettlement Site has formed a high-fill artificial peninsula surrounded by water on three sides, and its deformation problem has attracted much attention.In this paper, all-weather, high-precision remote deformation monitoring and analysis for the artificial peninsula protection embankment was carried out using GNSS technology.Meanwhile, the wetting strain model and rheological model of the soil-rock mixtures were constructed using engineering analogy method, and the long-term settlement trend of the artificial peninsula was predicted by layered summation method.The results showed that: the displacement of the monitoring points of the protective embankment fluctuated regularly with the rise and fall of water level, and its cumulative value and change rate met the requirements of the specifications, indicating that the protective embankment had good stability.The predicted results were basically consistent with the monitoring data, verifying the accuracy of the model and the effectiveness of the prediction method.Wetting and buoyancy effects were the main factors controlling settlement, and the contribution of wet settlement to total settlement far exceeded that of rheological settlement.The fluctuation of the displacement of the protective embankment subjected to water level change was mainly caused by the buoyancy effect of water.The maximum long-term cumulative settlement prediction values of the protective embankments on sides of the Jinsha River and Xiaojiang River were approximately 18 mm and 14 mm, respectively.

       

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