基于机器学习的构造蚀变花岗岩强度预测

    Strength prediction of tectonically altered granite based on machine learning

    • 摘要: 岩石强度的弱化可能导致隧洞掘进过程掌子面塌方及围岩大变形等工程问题,故构造蚀变花岗岩强度预测对实际工程具有重要意义。以具有典型构造蚀变特征的硬梁包水电站蚀变花岗岩为研究对象,在工程地质分类基础上测试了岩石物理力学性质,采用多元非线性回归、粒子群优化的随机森林算法(PSO-RF)、粒子群优化的BP神经网络算法(PSO-BP)3种方法分别建立了构造蚀变花岗岩饱和单轴抗压强度预测模型,用决定系数等指标评价了模型的精度,最后将模型应用于龙羊峡储能工程以进一步验证其适用性。研究表明:硬梁包水电站花岗岩的蚀变以微观结构变化为主,而矿物成分变化相对较少,因微裂隙扩张与晶间接触方式变化导致强度弱化;经各自变量间的共线性诊断后,选定干密度、吸水率、点荷载强度、纵波速、饱和单轴抗压强度为变量建立预测模型;三种预测模型均具有较高预测精度,其中PSO-RF模型表现最优。

       

      Abstract: Granite is susceptible to alteration under tectonic dynamic forces.The weakening of rock strength can lead to engineering challenges such as tunnel face collapse and large deformation of surrounding rock during tunnel excavation.Therefore, studying the strength prediction of tectonically altered granite has practical significance for engineering applications.This paper focuses on altered granite with typical tectonic alteration characteristics from the Yingliangbao Hydropower Station.Physical and mechanical property tests were conducted based on engineering geological classification.Three methods were employed to establish a predictive model for the saturated uniaxial compressive strength of the tectonically altered granite: multivariate nonlinear regression, Particle Swarm Optimization-Random Forest (PSO-RF) algorithm, and Particle Swarm Optimization-Back Propagation (PSO-BP) neural network algorithm.Model accuracy was evaluated using the coefficient of determination and other indicators.These models were then applied to the Longyang Gorge Energy Storage Project to verify their applicability.The study indicates that the alteration of granite at the Yingliangbao Hydropower Station is primarily characterized by microstructural changes rather than significant mineral composition variations.Strength weakening is attributed to micro-fracture expansion and changes in intergranular contact modes.After diagnosing multicollinearity among independent variables, dry density, water absorption rate, point load strength, longitudinal wave velocity, and saturated UCS were selected for model construction.All three models demonstrated high predictive accuracy, with the PSO-RF model exhibiting optimal performance.

       

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