基于龙头电站梯级补偿效益的水电容量价值研究

    Study on capacity value of hydropower based on cascade compensation benefits of leading hydropower stations

    • 摘要: 水电是绿色清洁能源,具备可再生、无污染的特性,且运行成本较低,是新型电力系统当中极为重要的具有调节性能的能源。位于流域上游的龙头电站,具有强大的调蓄能力与梯级补偿效益,能够保障电网平稳运行,反映调节性水电在电力系统中的容量价值;高投资、高成本的特性,使水电拥有较高的电价水平。以四川省境内某流域3个典型年的来水为基础,计算全梯级总发电量,结果表明:龙头电站建成后,全梯级年均增发电量42.47亿kW·h,年等效增发电收益12.898亿元。经营期40 a、内部收益率6.5%条件下龙头电站经营期电价为0.513 5元/kW·h;采用经营期电价法、经营期差价法与综合电价倒推法,测算出龙头电站的容量补偿电价分别为每年1 613.9元/kW、788.03元/kW和955.89元/kW,并对容量电费进行疏导,分析3种方案的可行性,在合理分担水电成本的同时,确保为经济社会发展提供绿色经济优质的电力。

       

      Abstract: Hydropower is a green and clean renewable energy source with zero pollution and low operational costs, which serves as a crucial adjustable energy source in the new power system.Leading hydropower stations located upstream in a basin, with strong regulation and storage capabilities and cascade compensation benefits, ensures stable grid operation and embodies the capacity value of adjustable hydropower in a power system.However, due to its high investment and high costs, it requires a relatively high electricity price level.Based on the inflow data of three typical years in a basin in Sichuan Province, the total power generation of the entire cascade was calculated.The results show that after the completion of the leading hydropower station, the average annual increase in power generation of the entire cascade reaches 4.247 billion kWh, with an equivalent annual increase in power generation revenue of 1.289 8 billion yuan.Under a condition of a 40-year operational period and an internal rate of return (IRR) of 6.5%, the operational period electricity price of the leading hydropower station is 0.513 5 yuan/kWh.Using the operational period pricing method, operational period differential pricing method, and comprehensive electricity price reverse calculation method, the capacity compensation prices of the leading hydropower station were estimated to be 1 613.9 yuan/kW, 788.03 yuan/kW, and 955.89 yuan/kW, respectively.Additionally, the capacity cost allocation was analyzed, and the feasibility of the three schemes was evaluated.This approach ensures the rational sharing of hydropower costs while providing green, economical, and high-quality electricity for economic and social development.

       

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