2024年台风“格美”与长江3号洪水防御应对

    Defense response to Typhoon "Gaemi" and Changjiang River No.3 flood in 2024

    • 摘要: 为应对强台风引发的极端暴雨洪水灾害,分析了2024年7月26日进入长江流域的第3号台风“格美”所引发的极端暴雨洪水的特点、影响,系统总结了该台风影响期间(7月26日起)长江流域水库群的联合调度措施及其实施成效,并全面梳理评估了此次暴雨洪水事件的各项防御应对措施。研究表明: 台风“格美”具有影响时间长、范围广、降雨极端性强等特点; 其引发的强降雨覆盖鄱阳湖、洞庭湖、乌江等多个流域,导致湘江干流发生超保证水位洪水,且其支流耒水东江水库最大入库流量重现期高达约200 a一遇,极端性显著; 受此影响,7月29日长江干流莲花塘站水位涨至警戒水位,致使“长江2024年第3号洪水”在中游形成。通过上中游水库群联合调度,降低了洞庭湖城陵矶站洪峰水位0.20 m,将城陵矶七里山站水位控制在警戒水位附近,显著缓解了洞庭湖水系防汛压力。基于分析研究提出了构建“监测预警-预案响应”联动机制、强化台风残余环流致洪应对策略、优化防洪工程协同调度模式、建立技术支撑-现场处置融合平台、深化暴雨洪水预报基础研究等应对建议。

       

      Abstract: To analyze the characteristics, impacts, and defense strategies related to the extreme rainstorm floods triggered by Typhoon "Gaemi" (No.3, 2024) entering into the Changjiang River Basin on July 26, 2024, this study systematically summarizes the joint operation measures and their implementation effectiveness of reservoir groups in the basin during the typhoon′s impact period (starting July 26), and comprehensively reviews and evaluates the defense and response measures deployed for this event.The results indicated that Typhoon "Gaemi" exhibited characteristics including a long duration, extensive impacted area, extreme rainfall intensity; it induced widespread heavy rainfall across multiple basins such as Poyang Lake, Dongting Lake, and Wujiang River, leading to floods exceeding the guaranteed water level in the main stem of the Xiangjiang River, and the Dongjiang Reservoir on Leishui River a tributary of Xiangjiang River experiencing a maximum inflow of approximately 200-year return period, highlighting exceptional extremity; consequently, the water level at the Lianhuatang Station on the Changjiang River main stem rose to the warning level on July 29, resulting in the formation of "2024 Changjiang River No.3 flood" in the middle reaches.Confronting these severe conditions, by jointly dispatching upper major reservoirs, we descended the water level at Chenglingji station in Dongting Lake by 0.20m and maintained the water level near the warning threshold, significantly alleviating flood control pressure across the Dongting Lake system.Based on the analysis, five key countermeasure recommendations are proposed: establishing a coordinated "monitoring-early warning-contingency response" linkage mechanism, enhancing flood response strategies for the residual typhoon circulation systems, optimizing collaborative dispatching models for flood control projects, developing an integrated technical support-field operations platform, advancing fundamental research on torrential rain and flood forecasting.These findings provide significant reference and guidance for responding to extreme rainstorm flood disasters triggered by strong typhoons.

       

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