基于洪峰沙峰异步传播规律的三峡水库排沙调度研究

    Sediment discharge operation of Three Gorges Reservoir based on asynchronous propagation of flood peak and sediment peak

    • 摘要: 三峡工程是“国之重器”,充分发挥以三峡水库为核心的长江上游梯级水库群综合效益是社会各界关注的焦点。为了在保证防洪安全和控制淤积风险的前提下突破泥沙淤积对水库优化调度的制约,围绕长江上游梯级水库群泥沙联合调度方式优化问题,聚焦长江上游汛期来沙集中、洪峰沙峰异步传播过程等新特点,在洪峰沙峰异步传播机理研究的基础上,建立了泥沙实时预报模型,提出了长江上游梯级水库群联合调度下的三峡水库沙峰过程排沙的精细化调度模式,并构建了“理论-模拟-调度”一体化的泥沙调度体系。结果表明:新的调度模式可进一步提高排沙比4~9个百分点,实现了水库防洪与排沙协同的精细化调度。研究结果不仅可为梯级水库群联合优化调度提供理论和技术支撑,而且对进一步完善大流域水沙产输模拟与水库泥沙调度等技术体系具有重要的科学意义。

       

      Abstract: The Three Gorges Project is a "national treasure". Fully leveraging the comprehensive benefits of the cascade reservoir system in the upper Changjiang River, with the Three Gorges Reservoir as its core, has long been a focus of attention from various sectors of society. In order to overcome the constraints imposed by sediment deposition on optimal reservoir operation under the premise of ensuring flood control safety and mitigating sedimentation risks, we focuse on optimizing the joint sediment discharge strategies for the cascade reservoirs in the upper Changjiang River. Based on new characteristics of sediment concentration during the flood season and the asynchronous propagation of flood peaks and sediment peaks, we investigate the mechanism of asynchronous flood-sediment peak propagation, establish a real-time sediment prediction model, and propose a refined sediment discharge strategy for the Three Gorges Reservoir under the joint operation of the cascade reservoirs. An integrated sediment discharge system encompassing "theory-simulation-operation" has been developed. The proposed strategy can increase the sediment discharge ratio by 4~9 percentage points, enabling refined operation that balances reservoir flood control and sediment management. The research outcomes not only provide theoretical and technical support for the joint optimal operation of cascade reservoirs, but also hold significant scientific values for advancing technical systems such as simulation of water and sediment generation and transport in large river basins, as well as reservoir sediment operation.

       

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