基于植被指数优化的Budyko模型适用性评估

    Application evaluation on Budyko framework evapotranspiration model based on vegetation index optimization

    • 摘要: 蒸散发是影响全球水循环和能量循环的重要环节,对全球生态水文过程的研究具有重要意义。为了精确模拟陆地生态系统蒸散发量,利用全球收集的1 774个流域水文样本数据,评估了典型Budyko框架蒸散发估算模型——傅抱璞模型在不同植被覆盖区和气候带中的适应性。同时,通过植被指数与流域特征参数之间的相关关系改进傅抱璞模型。结果表明:①在傅抱璞模型中,多数站点通过流域特征参数的经验值模拟得到的蒸散发量低于水平衡分量计算的实际蒸散发量,模型存在低估区域蒸散发量的倾向;②气候与植被类型的差异显著影响了傅抱璞模型的模拟效果,模型参数的经验值在非湿润地区(P/E0 < 1)明显高估了蒸散发量,而在湿润地区则明显低估了蒸散发量;③通过引入植被指数与流域特征参数的相关关系优化流域特征参数,可以显著提高流域蒸散发的模拟精度, 对优化后的模型而言,草地和农田在温带区域的精度提高了21.68 mm, 灌丛地在温带和干旱区域的精度分别提升了67.50, 2.57 mm, 林地在旱区和北高纬区域的精度分别提高10.54, 10.42 mm。研究成果有助于提高全球水文模拟准确性,为应对气候变化与开展水资源调控提供支持。

       

      Abstract: Evapotranspiration plays a crucial role in regulating the global water and energy cycles. How to accurately simulate evapotranspiration in terrestrial ecosystems is of great significance to the study of global ecological and hydrological processes. In this study, 1 774 watershed hydrological sample data from around the world were used to evaluate the adaptability of the typical Budyko framework evapotranspiration estimation model namely Fu′s model, across different vegetation coverage areas and different climate zones. The correlation between vegetation index and characteristic parameters were used to improve the Fu′s model. The results show that: ① The evapotranspiration calculated by Fu′s model using the empirical values of the basin characteristic parameters at most stations is lower than the actual evapotranspiration calculated by the water balance component. The model tends to underestimate the regional evapotranspiration. ② Differences in climate and vegetation types significantly affect the simulation results of Fu′s model. The empirical values of the model parameters considerably overestimate evapotranspiration in non-humid areas (P/E0 < 1), while considerably underestimate it in humid areas. ③ By introducing the relationship between vegetation index and watershed characteristic parameters to optimize the watershed characteristic parameters, the simulation accuracy of watershed evapotranspiration can be significantly improved. For the optimized model, the accuracy of grassland and farmland in temperate zones increased by 21.68 mm; the accuracy of shrubland in temperate zones and arid zones increased by 67.50 mm and 2.57 mm respectively; the accuracy of forestland in arid zones and boreal high latitude zones increased by 10.54 mm and 10.42 mm respectively. These findings contribute to improving the accuracy of global hydrological simulations and provide valuable support for addressing climate change and enhancing water resource management.

       

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