滨海软土超大城市地层参数时空演化分析与地面沉降防控

    Spatio-temporal evolution analysis of geological parameters and land subsidence prevention and control in coastal soft soil megacities

    • 摘要: 滨海超大城市软土受沉积环境与工程扰动双重控制,长期建设活动可能诱发其物理力学参数的时间演化,从而影响地面沉降过程。为探讨不同建设历程和强度下软土参数的演化特征及其对地面沉降的影响,提出了狭义建成区与新建区的概念,并以上海市为例,选取陆家嘴地区(建成区)和临港新片区(新建区)为研究对象,采用LSTM-AM模型与Mann-Kendall检验,分析了两个区域软土参数的时间演化特征。结果表明:陆家嘴建成区软土在多期工程扰动下,表现为密实化、刚度增强、可压缩性减弱的趋势;而临港新片区软土则主要表现为自然固结的缓慢变化。通过相关性分析进一步揭示了建成区和新建区的孔隙比与压缩系数/压缩模量的关系表现出不同的演化特征,说明在同等新增荷载作用下,建成区软土对沉降的敏感性较低,新建区较为敏感。基于此,建议在地面沉降分区防控中引入建成区与新建区分区维度,并提出基于软土参数-沉降关系对阈值进行动态更新。研究成果可为滨海软土城市差异化地面沉降治理提供技术参考。

       

      Abstract: The soft soils in coastal megacities are under dual control of depositional environments and engineering disturbances. Long-term construction activities may potentially trigger the temporal evolution of their physical and mechanical parameters, thereby influencing the land subsidence process. To explore the evolution characteristics of soft soil parameters under different construction histories and intensities, and their impacts on land subsidence, this study introduces the concepts of "narrowly defined built-up areas" and "newly built areas", taking Shanghai City as a case study and selecting the Lujiazui area (built-up area) and the Lingang New Area (newly built area) as research subjects. The LSTM-AM model and Mann-Kendall test are employed to analyze the temporal evolution characteristics of soft soil parameters in the two regions. The results show that, in the Lujiazui built-up area, soft soils exhibit trends of densification, increased stiffness, and reduced compressibility under multiple engineering disturbances, while the soft soils in the Lingang New Area primarily exhibit slow changes due to natural consolidation. Correlation analysis further reveals that the relationships between void ratio and compression coefficient/compression modulus in the built-up and newly built areas show different evolutionary characteristics, indicating that under the same additional load the soft soils in the built-up area are less sensitive to subsidence, while those in the newly built area are more sensitive. Based on these findings, the study suggests incorporating the distinction between built-up and newly built areas into land subsidence zoning control and proposes dynamic threshold updates based on the soft soil parameters-subsidence relationship. The research findings can provide technical references for differentiated land subsidence management in coastal soft soil megacities.

       

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