湖北省水稻灌溉需水特征及其对气候变化的响应

    Characteristics of rice irrigation water requirement and its response to climate change in Hubei Province

    • 摘要: 为探究气候变化对湖北省水稻作物需水量(Crop water requirement,CWR)和灌溉需水量(Irrigation water requirement,IWR)的影响,基于湖北省1960~2019年历史气象数据,计算了水稻CWR和IWR,分析了水稻不同生长阶段CWR和IWR的变化规律,并通过相关性分析揭示了气候变化对水稻IWR的影响。结果表明:① CWR和IWR总体均呈增加趋势。水稻生长初期、中期、后期及全生育期的CWR气候倾向率分别为11.82,12.61,11.26 mm/10 a和86.55 mm/10 a;IWR气候倾向率分别为31.71,27.02,28.69 mm/10 a和87.41 mm/10 a。②湖北省CWR与IWR在空间分布上呈现明显区域差异,其中鄂西南山地和鄂中部平原丘陵区较高,鄂东北低山丘陵区相对较低。③水稻IWR与有效降雨量、相对湿度呈负相关,与气温、日照时数呈正相关。研究结果可为保障中国粮食安全、制定水稻灌溉策略以及优化湖北省水资源配置提供参考。

       

      Abstract: To investigate the impact of climate change on the crop water requirement (CWR) and irrigation water requirement (IWR) of rice in Hubei Province, we calculated the CWR and IWR based on historical meteorological data from 1960 to 2019 in Hubei Province.The temporal variation of CWR and IWR during different rice growth stages was analyzed, and the influence of climate change on rice IWR was examined using correlation analysis.The results indicated that: ① The CWR and IWR of rice showed an overall increasing trend.The climate tendency rates of CWR during the early, middle, late, and entire growth stages were 11.82, 12.61, 11.26 mm/10 a, and 86.55 mm/10 a, respectively.Correspondingly, the climate tendency rates of IWR for these stages were 31.71, 27.02, 28.69 mm/10 a, and 87.41 mm/10 a, respectively.② Spatially, the variation in rice CWR and IWR across Hubei Province was characterized by higher values in the southwestern mountainous areas and the central plains and hilly areas, and lower values in the northeastern hilly areas.③ Correlation analysis revealed that IWR was negatively correlated with effective precipitation and relative humidity, while positively correlated with air temperature and sunshine duration.The findings of this study are significant for ensuring food security, formulating irrigation strategies, and optimizing water resource allocation for rice production in Hubei Province.

       

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