云南省用水总量和效率指标优化方案研究

    Research on optimization of total water consumption and efficiency indicators in Yunnan Province

    • 摘要: 云南省自2012年实施最严格水资源管理制度以来,全省用水总量控制成效显著,但伴随经济社会快速发展,部分州(市)用水总量指标与区域发展需求矛盾凸显。立足新发展阶段,以水资源刚性约束为前提,以优化水资源空间配置为核心,系统开展以下工作:首先,基于云南省国土空间规划和骨干水网工程布局,预测2030年各行业用水需求;其次,以州(市)水资源四级分区为单元,结合ArcGIS与MIKE BASIN模型进行供需平衡分析;最后,统筹长江、珠江等流域水量分配成果,提出全省及分州(市)用水总量和效率指标优化方案。研究结果显示:2030年云南省用水总量指标控制在226.82亿m3不变,通过调减滇中地区指标、增加西南及东北沿边州(市)指标,实现区域协调与刚性约束的平衡。同时,建立动态调整机制,预留地表水3.0亿m3/a、地下水0.3亿m3/a作为弹性空间。研究成果可为云南省现代化高原立体水网建设和高质量发展提供参考。

       

      Abstract: Since the implementation of the strictest water resources management system in Yunnan Province in 2012, significant results have been achieved in total water consumption control from a provincial perspective. However, with rapid economic and social development, the contradiction between water consumption quotas and regional development needs has become prominent in some cities. Against the backdrop of the new development stage, and under the premise of adhering to rigid water resource constraints and optimizing the spatial allocation of water resources, this study systematically conducted the following work: First, based on the territorial spatial planning and the layout of key water network projects in Yunnan Province, water demand across all sectors was projected for 2030.Second, using water resource fourth-level zones combined with cities as units, a supply-demand balance analysis was performed using ArcGIS and Mike Basin models. Finally, taking into account existing water allocation outcomes in river basins such as the Yangtze River and Pearl River, an optimization scheme for total water consumption and efficiency targets was proposed for the Yunnan province and each city. The research results indicate that the total water consumption of the province in 2030 should be strictly limited to no more than 22. 682 billion m3. By reducing quotas of the central region and increasing quotas for cities along the southwestern and northeastern borders of Yunnan Province, a balance between regional coordination and rigid constraints can be achieved. Simultaneously, a dynamic adjustment mechanism has been established, reserving 0.3 billion m3 of surface water and 0.03 billion m3 of groundwater annually as flexible capacity. The research findings provide scientific support for the construction of a modern plateau multi-dimensional water network and high-quality development in Yunnan, as well as practical reference for dual-control management of water resources in other southern regions under similar conditions.

       

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