基于改进G1法及高斯区间的水电机组健康评价模型

    Health evaluation model of hydropower units based on improved G1-CRITIC method and Gaussian interval membership

    • 摘要: 针对现有水电机组健康状态评估中存在的模糊性和随机性问题,考虑到水电机组工况的多变性和复杂性,基于改进G1-CRITIC法和高斯区间隶属度提出了一种水电机组状态评价模型。首先,根据水电机组的结构特征和运行规律,建立了健康状态综合评价指标体系。结合改进的G1-CRITIC法构建了组合权重计算模型,综合考虑指标之间的相关性以及专家的理性判断,对主观和客观权重的组合进行优化;利用高斯阈值方法对设备检修效果评价指标进行量化,计算指标的劣化度;将水电机组健康状态量化指标的劣化度应用于改进的模糊隶属度模型中,求解各指标的模糊评价矩阵,推导出目标水电机组的模糊状态评价矩阵,给出检修前后的隶属度函数和综合得分。实际水电站中不同工况下的应用实例,验证了该方法在不同工况下对水电机组健康状态的准确评估能力。

       

      Abstract: To address the issues of fuzziness and randomness in assessing the health status of hydropower units, and considering the variability and complexity of their operating conditions, we propose a health evaluation model based on an improved G1-CRITIC method and Gaussian interval membership.First, a comprehensive evaluation index system for the health status of the units is established based on their structural characteristics and operating principles.Next, a combined weighting model is constructed using the improved G1-CRITIC method, which takes into account both the correlations among indicators and expert judgment, thereby optimizing the integration of subjective and objective weights.Subsequently, the Gaussian threshold method is applied to quantify the evaluation indicators for equipment maintenance effectiveness and calculate the degradation degree of each indicator.Finally, the degradation degree of the health status indicators is incorporated into an improved fuzzy membership model to derive the fuzzy evaluation matrix for each indicator and obtain the overall fuzzy state evaluation matrix for the target hydropower unit.The membership functions and comprehensive scores before and after maintenance are then generated, enabling a quantitative evaluation on the health status of hydropower units.The proposed method′s effectiveness in accurately assessing the health status of hydropower units under different operating conditions is validated through practical case studies in an actual hydropower plant.

       

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