基于LSTM-TL的大坝变形监控模型研究

    Research on dam deformation monitoring model based on LSTM-TL

    • 摘要: 针对大坝安全监测中小样本、弱规律数据导致的模型预测精度低的问题,提出了一种融合长短期记忆网络(LSTM)与迁移学习(TL)的变形监控模型——LSTM-TL模型。首先利用有限元模拟数据和实测数据分别构建源域模型和目标域模型,然后从源域模型中提取较优参数,将其迁移至目标域模型作为初始参数,最后基于实测数据对目标域模型的初始参数进行微调,获得最优参数,从而生成最终的目标域监控模型。实例验证表明:该模型能有效抑制小样本数据噪声干扰与过拟合,显著提升模型精度;源域与目标域的规律相似性(非数值相似性)是影响模型精度的因素;当样本量低于150个时,LSTM-TL模型预测精度显著优于传统LSTM模型,而样本量超过150个时二者性能则趋近。研究成果可为大坝安全实时监控与预警提供参考。

       

      Abstract: Aiming at the issue of low prediction accuracy caused by small sample sizes and irregular data in dam safety monitoring models, this paper proposes a new deformation monitoring model that integrates transfer learning (TL) with a long short-term memory neural network (LSTM).The specific methodology is as follows: first, the source domain model and the target domain model are constructed using finite element simulation data and measured data, respectively.Then, well-performing parameters are extracted from the source domain model and transferred to the target domain model as initial parameters.Finally, based on the measured data, the initial parameters of the target domain model are fine-tuned to obtain the optimal parameters, thereby generating the final target domain monitoring model.Engineering application demonstrates that the LSTM-TL model can effectively suppress noise interference and overfitting induced by small sample of the data, significantly improving the model′s accuracy.The regularity similarity (i.e., non-numerical similarity) between the source domain and the target domain is the main factor influencing model accuracy.When the sample size is less than 150, the accuracy of the LSTM-TL model is significantly better than that of the traditional LSTM model; the performance of the two models becomes comparable when the sample size exceeds 150.The research findings can provide a reference for real-time dam safety monitoring and early warning.

       

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