基于天空地观测技术与双折减法的斜坡稳定性分析

    Slope stability analysis based on space-air-ground observation technology and dual-strength reduction method

    • 摘要: 湟水流域地质背景复杂多样,不同类型滑坡致灾机理和稳定性存在显著差异。为了揭示不同降雨工况下黄土斜坡的变形特征与稳定性状态,以湟水流域李家磨不稳定斜坡为例,利用“天-空-地”观测技术对斜坡进行现场观测调查,采用双强度折减法模拟天然与暴雨工况下斜坡位移、应力应变及安全系数,分析斜坡在不同工况下的稳定性。结果表明:①李家磨不稳定斜坡呈近半圆形,在人工切坡与强降雨共同作用下会转变为滑坡灾害,坡脚先失稳下滑,导致中上部失去支撑而发生滑动,为“牵引式”滑坡。②当前斜坡处于稳定状态,受坡面大量张拉裂缝发育的影响,局部可能发生滑动,但强降雨导致斜坡失稳的可能性更大。③ 2019年6月至2023年9月斜坡竖向年平均形变速率为-4.50~1.96 mm/a,南北向年平均形变速率为-0.41~0.44 mm/a;2023年10月至2024年4月斜坡竖向坡面最大沉降量为-9.77 mm,最大抬升量为9.77 mm,南北向坡面最大沉降量为-161.31 mm,最大抬升量为54.94 mm,处于稳定状态。④天然工况下,斜坡的安全系数为1.21;暴雨工况下,斜坡安全系数从1.21降至0.93,属于不稳定状态,水平位移在坡体中部最大,为12.94 cm,竖直位移在坡体顶部最大,为12.24 cm。从以上结果可知,将“天-空-地”观测技术与双强度折减法结合,能为斜坡稳定性研究提供更全面的多源异构数据支撑。

       

      Abstract: The geological background of the Huangshui River Basin is complex and diverse, resulting in significant differences in the disaster-causing mechanisms and stability of various landslide types. To reveal the deformation characteristics and stability of loess slopes under different rainfall conditions, this study takes the Lijiamo unstable slope in the Huangshui River Basin as a case study. Using space-air-ground observation technology, field investigations were conducted on the slope. The dual-strength reduction method was employed to simulate the displacement, stress-strain behavior, and safety factors of the slope under natural and heavy rainfall conditions, aiming to analyze and verify its stability under different scenarios. The results show that: ① The Lijiamo unstable slope exhibits a nearly semi-circular shape. Under the combined effects of artificial slope cutting and heavy rainfall, it is prone to transform into a landslide disaster. The failure initiates at the slope foot, which slides first, causing the middle and upper parts to lose support and subsequently slide, characterizing it as a "retrogressive" landslide. ② Currently, the slope is in a stable state. However, due to the development of numerous tensile cracks on the slope surface, local sliding may occur. Nevertheless, heavy rainfall poses a greater risk of causing overall slope instability. ③ From June 2019 to September 2023, the vertical annual average deformation rate of the slope ranged from -4.50 to 1.96 mm/a, and the north-south annual average deformation rate ranged from -0.41 to 0.44 mm/a. From October 2023 to April 2024, the maximum vertical settlement on the slope surface was -9.77 mm, the maximum uplift was 9.77 mm, the maximum north-south settlement was -161.31 mm, and the maximum uplift was 54.94 mm, indicating a stable state during this period. ④ Under natural conditions, the safety factor of the slope is 1.21.Under heavy rainfall conditions, the safety factor decreases from 1.21 to 0.93, indicating an unstable state. The horizontal displacement is largest in the middle of the slope, reaching 12.94 cm, and the vertical displacement is largest at the top of the slope, reaching 12.24 cm. These findings demonstrate that combining space-air-ground observation technology with the dual strength reduction method can provide more comprehensive multi-source heterogeneous data support for slope research.

       

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