基于多变量的水体混合事件检测方法及性能比较

    A multivariate-based water mass mixing event detection method and performance comparison

    • 摘要: 长距离输水工程内水外渗、外水入渗等问题会引起潜在的工程隐患和水质隐患,如何能够快速而准确地对水体混合事件进行监测和预警是当前面临的新课题。针对传统的水体预警技术和算法存在假阳性率高和真阳性率低的缺点,提出了一种基于多参数匹配算法的水体混合检测方法,综合集成皮尔逊相关系数与马氏距离进行水体识别; 通过实验室混合模拟实验对检测方法进行了验证及评价,比较了皮尔逊-马氏距离(PM) 和传统的皮尔逊-欧氏距离(PE)两种算法的差异。结果表明:对于水体指标差异大的混合事件,PE及PM法均可以正确检测到100%的混合事件,误报率均为0;对于水体指标差异小的混合事件,PE及PM法均可以正确检测95%的混合事件,误报率分别为1.92%和0。PE法易受外水与干渠水差异性的影响,最优阈值选取区间小,而PM法受其影响小,最优阈值选取区间大,具有更高的检测性能和更低的误报率,算法性能稳定性好,能够更好地区分水质波动和混合造成的波动。

       

      Abstract: Internal and external seepage in long-distance water conveyance projects can lead to potential engineering risks and water quality hazards. Therefore, rapid and accurate monitoring and warning of water mass mixing events have become an emerging challenge. Conventional detection algorithms are often criticized for high false positive rates and low true positive rates. This paper presents a new water mass mixing detection method based on a multi-parameter matching algorithm, which integrates the Pearson correlation coefficient and Mahalanobis distance for water identification. The performance of the proposed method was evaluated using data from a water mixed experiment, and the Pearson correlation coefficient Euclidean distance-based method (PE) was compared with the Pearson correlation coefficient Mahalanobis distance-based method (PM). The results show that for mixing events characterized by significant differences in water quality indicators, both the PE and PM methods correctly detect 100% of all water mixing events, yielding a 0 false alarm rate. For mixing events with slight differences in water quality indicators, both methods correctly detect 95% of the events, and the corresponding false alarm rates are 1.92% and 0, respectively. Therefore, compared with the PE method, the PM method is less affected by the difference between external water and main canal water, offering a wider range for optimal threshold selection. The PM algorithm offers higher detection performance than the PE method and a lower false alarm rate, along with better stability and an greater ability to distinguish between water quality fluctuations and mixing-induced fluctuations.

       

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