多维工况影响下水电多尺度调节能力量化表征方法

    Quantitative characterization method for multi-scale regulation capacity of hydropower under multi-dimensional operating conditions

    • 摘要: 在水力电力复杂多维工况的耦合影响下,精准量化梯级水电多周期调节能力,对于西南地区新能源高效消纳和电网保供具有重要意义。为此,提出了多维工况影响下的水电多尺度调节能力量化表征方法。短期和中期尺度上,分别从电力、电量、时间3个维度,建立了包含强迫出力、顶峰能力、上下调备用能力、顶峰电量和顶峰时长等指标的水电调节能力量化表征方法;长期尺度上,建立了水电梯级蓄能计算模型。以雅砻江梯级水电站为应用实例,探究了水位、发电流量、水能转换效率等多维运行工况对水电多尺度调节能力的影响。结果表明:短期尺度上,能够达到出力上限的最低水位状态对应最强的顶峰能力,且所提方法可有效应对水电上调备用计划无法可靠实现的风险;中期尺度上,将水电站的月末水位消落得更低有利于应对较高的顶峰电量需求和较长的顶峰时长需求;长期尺度上,蓄能与水位呈正相关,且由于“一滴水重复发电”的杠杆效应,上游龙头电站水位对梯级水电蓄能的影响最大。研究成果可为电力生产调度决策提供科学参考。

       

      Abstract: Accurately quantifying the multi-period regulation capacity of cascade hydropower stations under the coupling effect of complex multi-dimensional operating conditions in hydroelectric power systems is crucial for the efficient accomodation of new energy and power grid supply security in southwest China.To address this issue, this paper proposes a quantitative characterization method for the multi-scale regulation capacity of hydropower under multi-dimensional operating conditions.At the short-term and medium-term scales, a quantitative characterization framework for hydropower regulation capacity is established from three dimensions (power, energy, and time), incorporating indicators such as forced output, peak capacity, upward/downward regulation reserve capacity, peak energy, and peak duration.At the long-term scale, a calculation model for cascade hydropower energy storage is developed.Taking the Yalong River cascade hydropower stations as a case study, the impacts of multi-dimensional operating conditions including water level, generating flow, and hydraulic-to-electric energy conversion efficiency on the multi-scale regulation capacity of hydropower were investigated.The results show that at the short-term scale, the lowest water level state that enables the maximum power output corresponds to the strongest peak capacity, and the proposed method effectively mitigates the risk of unreliable implementation of upward regulation reserve plans required for hydropower.At the medium-term scale, further drawdown of the month-end water level for hydropower stations is conducive to meeting elevated peak power demand and prolonged peak load hours.At the long-term scale, energy storage is positively correlated with water level.Due to the leverage effect of "repeated power generation by a single drop of water", the water level of the upstream leading station has the most significant impact on the energy storage capacity of the cascade system.

       

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