鄱阳湖入江水道冲淤变化对湖区水动力影响分析

    Impact of Scouring Changes in the Waterway of Poyang Lake on Hydrodynamic Processes in the Lake Area

    • 摘要: 鄱阳湖作为长江最大的通江湖泊,其入江水道是五河及区间的径流和泥沙入江唯一通道,受人类活动影响,近20年来入江水道发生显著冲刷,对湖区接纳五河来流及调蓄后出湖的水动力过程产生了深远影响。现有关于入江水道冲刷的研究多集中于局部断面,本研究通过实测断面与水文资料构建高精度二维水动力模型,定量分析鄱阳湖入江水道冲淤变化对湖区水动力的影响。实测资料表明2010~2020年入江水道河床深槽平均冲刷1 m,通过在模型中设计入江水道原始、弱冲刷(-0.5 m)、中冲刷(-1 m)、强冲刷(-2 m)四种工况,对比原始工况量化分析发现:空间上,北部湖区(湖口~都昌)对冲刷的响应最为显著,强冲刷工况下枯水期(1月)都昌站水位降低0.55 m,入江水道段流速平均降低0.05 m/s,而同期南部湖区(棠阴~康山)对冲刷的响应微弱,平均水位降低0.1 m,流速增大0.01m/s;时间上,鄱阳湖对冲刷的响应在枯水期(1月)最为强烈,导致湖区水位显著下降和出流量增加,丰水期(7月)则因来水量大、水位高而几乎不受影响,各工况下站点水位差异不足0.01 m;湖口断面出流流量随入江水道冲刷程度增大而增加,最大增加190 m3/s,日均泄流量最大提升5.48%;鄱阳湖洪水调蓄能力随入江水道冲刷程度而削弱,强冲刷工况下使鄱阳湖30天洪水调蓄量从69.79 亿m3减少到69.31 亿m3,洪量调蓄能力从25.99%降至25.81%;鄱阳湖湖区面积随着冲刷强度增大而缩减,强冲刷工况下水位上升期(3月)最大缩减43.12 km2(幅度-2.27%),而丰水期(7月)缩减仅6.37 km2(幅度-0.21%)。研究揭示了鄱阳湖入江水道冲淤变化对的湖区水动力影响具有北强南弱的空间差异性与枯强丰弱的季节异质性,可为鄱阳湖洪枯调控与枢纽工程建设提供科学依据。

       

      Abstract: As the largest river-connected lake of the Yangtze River, Poyang Lake’s outflow channel serves as the sole passage for runoff and sediment from the five tributaries and adjacent areas into the Yangtze. Influenced by human activities, this channel has experienced significant scour over the past two decades, profoundly affecting the hydrodynamics of the lake in terms of receiving inflows from the five rivers and regulating outflows. Existing studies on channel scour have mostly focused on localized cross-sections. This study constructs a high-resolution two-dimensional hydrodynamic model based on measured cross-sectional and hydrological data to quantitatively analyze the impact of scour in the outflow channel of Poyang Lake on its hydrodynamics. Measured data indicate that from 2010 to 2020, the thalweg of the channel was scoured by an average of 1 m. By designing four scenarios in the model—original, weak scour (-0.5 m), moderate scour (-1 m), and strong scour (-2 m)—and comparing them with the original scenario, quantitative analysis reveals that: Spatially, the northern lake region (from Hukou to Duchang) responds most significantly to scour. Under the strong scour scenario in the dry season (January), the water level at Duchang Station decreases by 0.55 m, and the flow velocity in the channel section decreases by an average of 0.05 m/s. In contrast, the southern lake region (from Tangyin to Kangshan) shows a weak response, with an average water level decrease of 0.1 m and a flow velocity increase of 0.01 m/s. Temporally, the response of Poyang Lake to scour is most pronounced in the dry season (January), leading to a significant drop in water level and an increase in outflow. In the wet season (July), due to high incoming flow and water levels, the impact is negligible, with water level differences among scenarios less than 0.01 m. The outflow discharge at the Hukou section increases with the degree of channel scour, with a maximum increase of 190 m³/s and a maximum daily average discharge increase of 5.48%. The flood regulation capacity of Poyang Lake diminishes with increasing channel scour. Under the strong scour scenario, the 30-day flood storage volume decreases from 6.979 billion m3 to 6.931 billion m3, and the flood regulation ratio drops from 25.99% to 25.81%. The lake area shrinks as scour intensity increases, with a maximum reduction of 43.12 km2 (-2.27%) during the rising water level period (March) under the strong scour scenario, while in the wet season (July), the reduction is only 6.37 km2 (-0.21%). This study highlights that the hydrodynamic impacts of scour in the outflow channel of Poyang Lake exhibit spatial heterogeneity (stronger in the north, weaker in the south) and seasonal heterogeneity (stronger in dry seasons, weaker in wet seasons), providing a scientific basis for flood and drought regulation and the construction of hydraulic projects in Poyang Lake.

       

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