丹江口水库陶岔水域丝状蓝藻异常增殖预警研究

    Research on the Risk Warning Threshold of Filamentous Cyanobacteria Abnormal Proliferation in the Taocha WaterAreaof the Danjiangkou Reservoir

    • 摘要: 近年来,随着全球气候变化和人类活动影响的加剧,丝状蓝藻异常增殖现象在全球范围内频繁发生,已成为威胁湖库水质安全的重要问题。丹江口水库作为南水北调中线工程的核心水源地,其水质安全直接关系到沿线数千万人口的饮水保障。2025年夏季,丹江口水库首次出现以尖头藻、细鞘丝藻等丝状蓝藻为主的大规模异常增殖现象,藻密度峰值超过1×108cells/L,但叶绿素a浓度和生物量相对较低,且未出现典型水华的表观聚集特征,对现有水华评价与预警体系提出了挑战。本文基于2025年7-9月丹江口水库陶岔渠首重点水域的应急监测数据,结合国内外丝状蓝藻研究成果,探讨了适用于丝状蓝藻异常增殖的风险预警指标体系与阈值判定方法,提出了以总藻密度、叶绿素a浓度和2-甲基异莰醇含量为核心的预警指标,并通过体积折算方法建立了与实际藻密度的对应关系,旨在为丹江口水库及类似水源地的丝状蓝藻风险防控提供科学依据。

       

      Abstract: IN RECENT YEARS, WITH THE INTENSIFICATION OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE AND HUMAN ACTIVITIES, ABNORMAL PROLIFERATION OF FILAMENTOUS CYANOBACTERIA HAS OCCURRED FREQUENTLY WORLDWIDE, BECOMING A MAJOR THREAT TO WATER QUALITY SAFETY IN LAKES AND RESERVOIRS. AS THE CORE WATER SOURCE OF THE MIDDLE ROUTE OF THE SOUTH-TO-NORTH WATER DIVERSION PROJECT, THE WATER QUALITY SAFETY OF THE DANJIANGKOU RESERVOIR DIRECTLY AFFECTS THE DRINKING WATER SECURITY OF TENS OF MILLIONS OF PEOPLE ALONG ITS ROUTE. IN THE SUMMER OF 2025, THE DANJIANGKOU RESERVOIR EXPERIENCED FOR THE FIRST TIME A LARGE-SCALE ABNORMAL PROLIFERATION DOMINATED BY FILAMENTOUS CYANOBACTERIA SUCH AS RAPHIDIOPSIS AND LEPTOLYNGBYA, WITH PEAK ALGAL DENSITY EXCEEDING 1×10⁸ CELLS/L. HOWEVER, CHLOROPHYLL-A CONCENTRATION AND BIOMASS REMAINED RELATIVELY LOW, AND NO TYPICAL SURFACE SCUM CHARACTERISTICS OF ALGAL BLOOMS WERE OBSERVED, POSING A CHALLENGE TO EXISTING ALGAL BLOOM ASSESSMENT AND EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS. BASED ON EMERGENCY MONITORING DATA COLLECTED FROM JULY TO SEPTEMBER 2025 AT THE TAOCHA WATER AREA, A KEY AREA OF THE DANJIANGKOU RESERVOIR, AND IN CONJUNCTION WITH DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL RESEARCH ON FILAMENTOUS CYANOBACTERIA, THIS STUDY EXPLORES A RISK EARLY WARNING INDICATOR SYSTEM AND THRESHOLD DETERMINATION METHOD APPLICABLE TO ABNORMAL PROLIFERATION OF FILAMENTOUS CYANOBACTERIA. IT PROPOSES A CORE SET OF EARLY WARNING INDICATORS INCLUDING TOTAL ALGAL DENSITY, CHLOROPHYLL-A CONCENTRATION, AND 2-METHYLISOBORNEOL (MIB) CONTENT, AND ESTABLISHES A CORRESPONDING RELATIONSHIP WITH ACTUAL ALGAL DENSITY THROUGH VOLUMETRIC CONVERSION METHODS. THE AIM IS TO PROVIDE A SCIENTIFIC BASIS FOR THE PREVENTION AND CONTROL OF FILAMENTOUS CYANOBACTERIA RISKS IN THE DANJIANGKOU RESERVOIR AND SIMILAR WATER SOURCE AREAS.

       

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