长江流域水资源与社会经济时空匹配分析

    Spatio-temporal matching between water resources and socio-economic factors in the Yangtze River Basin

    • 摘要: 长江流域存在水资源与经济社会发展布局不匹配的问题,部分地区水资源短缺问题制约着长江流域可持续发展。研究长江流域水资源与社会经济发展时空匹配格局,是协调水资源与社会经济关系的基础,也是水资源可持续利用的关键。采用洛伦兹基尼系数和空间不均衡指数,对2017-2021年长江流域各省(市)水资源量、人口、工农业用水、第一二产业生产总值的匹配程度和空间均衡性进行分析。结果表明:长江流域水资源量与人口分布属于相对匹配,水资源量与地区生产总值分布属于匹配比较合理,农业用水量与第一产业生产总值分布和工业用水量与第二产业生产总值分布属于完全匹配;从空间分布来看,西藏和青海的均衡性较差,重庆的水资源量与人口和地区生产总值分布较均衡,湖北和陕西农业用水量分布与第一产业生产总值分布较均衡,湖南和江西工业用水量与第二产业生产总值分布较均衡。

       

      Abstract: The mismatch between water resources and socio-economic factors leads to the shortage of water resources in some areas, which restricts the sustainable development of the Yangtze River Basin. The study on the spatio-temporal matching between water resources and socio-economic factors in the Yangtze River Basin is the basis of coordinating their relationships, and is also the key to the sustainable utilization of water resources. The Gini coefficient and spatial equilibrium index were used to examine the spatio-temporal matching between water resources and socio-economy in the Yangtze River Basin from 2017 to 2021. The results show that the distribution of water resources in the Yangtze River Basin is relatively matched with the population, the distribution of water resources is reasonably matched with the GDP, the distribution of agricultural water use is completely matched with the GDP of primary industry, and the distribution of industrial water use is completely matched with the GDP of secondary industry. For the spatial distribution, the equilibrium between Tibet and Qinghai is poor. Chongqing's water resources are balanced with population and regional GDP. Hubei and Shanxi's agricultural water uses are balanced with primary industry GDP, and Hunan and Jiangxi's industrial water uses are balanced with secondary industry GDP.

       

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