考虑不确定性因素的管道水力瞬变模型研究

    Research on pipeline hydraulic transient model considering uncertainty factors

    • 摘要: 在长距离输水系统运行过程中,管道力学特性、管道锚固约束状况和水体特性等不确定性因素可能导致数值模拟结果与实际运行情况存在偏差。为了提高数值模拟的精度,基于广义Kelvin-Voigt模型,建立了考虑不确定性因素的水力瞬变模型,采用二阶Godunov格式有限体积法求解,通过实验与复杂水力瞬变过程数值模拟验证模型准确性。结果表明:本模型可以通过蠕变函数表征管道综合特性,精确模拟长距离输水管道系统中的压力峰值衰减;在复杂水力瞬变过程中,压力波峰的相对误差将随着压力波的不断叠加而逐渐放大。在实际长距离输水工程中,由于流道内存在多种不确定性因素,随着压力波的多次传播,数值误差将进一步加剧,因此采用高精度的水力瞬变模型,可以提升压力波动模拟、水力安全监测的准确性。

       

      Abstract: During the operation of long-distance water conveyance systems, uncertain factors such as pipeline mechanical properties, pipeline anchoring constraints, and water characteristics may lead to deviations between numerical simulation results and actual situation. To improve the accuracy of numerical simulation, a hydraulic transient model considering uncertainty factors was established based on the generalized Kelvin-Voigt model. The model was solved by the second-order Godunov Finite Volume Method, and its accuracy was verified through experiments and numerical simulations of complex hydraulic transient processes. The results indicate that this model can characterize the comprehensive characteristics of pipelines through creep functions and accurately simulate the pressure peak attenuation in long-distance water conveyance systems. In complex hydraulic transient processes, the relative error of pressure wave peaks will gradually amplify with the continuous superposition of pressure waves. In actual long-distance water conveyance projects, due to the presence of various uncertain factors that are difficult to observe and characterize, numerical errors will further intensify as pressure waves propagate multiple times. Therefore, applying a high-precision hydraulic transient model can improve the accuracy of pressure fluctuation simulation and hydraulic safety monitoring.

       

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