基于时序特征和领域知识的顶管机荷载预测研究

    A Study on Load Prediction of Top Pipe Machines Based on Temporal Features and Domain Knowledge

    • 摘要: 顶管机的掘进荷载是施工的重要参数,对工程施工安全有着重要的影响。本文以提高荷载的预测精度为研究目标,基于荷载数据的时序特征和领域知识,构建了改进的Transformer模型,通过在Transformer模型的损失函数中引入了土力学约束和功率平衡约束,使模型能够更好地学习数据的内部特征。利用现场切削试验的数据构建预测模型的数据集,通过多组实验对模型的预测性能进行验证,结果表明:本文提出的模型在训练集和验证集上的损失值较小,模型得到的预测值与实际值误差较小,证实模型得到的预测值与监测值较为接近。通过对比实验和消融实验发现相较于三种现有的经典的机器学习模型和两种子模型,本文提出的模型得到的MAE和RMSE值均最小,表明模型具有更高地预测精度,能更准确地捕捉到荷载数据的变化规律。本文所述方法实现了对顶管施工的荷载进行提前预测,对确保隧道高质量完成具有极其重要的意义。

       

      Abstract:   The excavation load of top pipe machines is a crucial parameter in construction projects and has a significant impact on construction safety. This study aims to improve the accuracy of load prediction by constructing an enhanced Transformer model based on the temporal features of load data and domain knowledge. The proposed model incorporates geomechanical constraints and power balance constraints into the loss function of the Transformer model, enabling better learning of internal data features. A dataset was constructed using field cutting test data to build the prediction model. Multiple experiments were conducted to validate the model’s predictive performance. The results demonstrate that the proposed model achieves smaller loss values on both training and validation datasets, with predicted values closely matching actual measurements. Comparative experiments and ablation studies show that compared to three classical machine learning models and two submodels, the proposed model yields the smallest Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), indicating higher prediction accuracy and better ability to capture load data variation patterns. The method described in this paper enables advance prediction of loads during top pipe construction, playing a crucial role in ensuring high-quality tunnel construction.

       

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