水风光系统极端运行场景识别及调度方法研究

    Research on Extreme Operation Scenario Identification and Dispatching Methods for Hydro-Wind-Solar Hybrid System

    • 摘要: 干旱、洪涝、新能源出力极端波动给水风光一体化系统安稳运行带来了严重影响。为此,本文提出一种水风光极端运行场景识别方法及极端场景下水风光中期互补调度方法。分别采用标准化出力指数和标准化径流指数识别新能源出力极端波动场景以及极端水文事件;以最小出力最大为目标构建了应对极端运行场景的水风光一体化系统中期互补调度模型,并将其转化为混合整数线性规划进行求解。以我国西南地区某水风光一体化系统为例进行仿真验证,结果表明本文方法能有效识别新能源出力极端波动场景和极端水文事件,所提中期互补调度模型能显著提高水风光一体化系统的保供能力和日间出力过程的平稳性。

       

      Abstract: Drought, floods, and extreme fluctuations in new energy output have severely impacted the stable and secure operation of hydro-wind-solar hybrid systems. A extreme operation scenario identification method and a medium-term complementary dispatching method under extreme scenarios are proposed in this paper. Standardized Power Output Index and Standardized Runoff Index are employed to identify extreme fluctuation scenarios in new energy output and extreme hydrological events, respectively. To address extreme operation scenarios, the medium-term complementary dispatching model is constructed with the objective of maximizing the minimum output. The model is transformed into a mixed-integer linear programming problem for solution. A hydro-wind-solar hybrid system in Southwest China is employed as a case study for method validation. The results suggest that the proposed method can effectively identify extreme fluctuation scenarios in new energy output and extreme hydrological events, and the medium-term complementary dispatching model can improve the power supply capacity and the daily output stability of the hydro-wind-solar hybrid system.

       

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