基于AHA-LSTM的大断面黄土隧道围岩变形预测研究

    Research on deformation prediction of surrounding rock in large section loess tunnel based on AHA-LSTM

    • 摘要: 传统的大断面黄土隧道围岩变形预测依赖于拟合监控量测数据,这一过程费时费力,数据波动较大的情况下又会导致预测精度降低。深度学习算法可以显著提高黄土隧道围岩变形监测效率及预测精度,同时降低人工成本。本文基于长短期记忆网络(Long Short-Term Memory, LSTM)模型,采用人工蜂鸟算法(Artificial Hummingbird Algorithm, AHA)实现LSTM模型的超参数寻优,构建AHA-LSTM模型计算流程框架。以邵家堂隧道工程为例,对围岩大变形段进行现场实测,得到拱顶沉降和拱脚收敛的监测数据,代入AHA-LSTM模型进行计算,并与传统机器学习算法进行对比分析。结果表明:AHA-LSTM模型平均R2为0.9983、MAE为0.5802、RMSE为0.7323、MAPE为1.8539%,相对误差控制在-4.0%~4.0%,在对比模型中表现最优;工程实际验证表明R2平均值为0.9927,MAPE平均为4.2770%,实现了对黄土隧道围岩变形的准确预测。本文提出的预测方法为将深度学习中的LSTM预测方法引入隧道建设并促进隧道建设安全提供了可靠参考。

       

      Abstract: The traditional prediction of surrounding rock deformation in large section loess tunnels relies on fitting monitoring and measurement data, which is time-consuming and laborious. In the case of large data fluctuations, it can lead to a decrease in prediction accuracy. Deep learning algorithms can significantly improve the monitoring efficiency and prediction accuracy of surrounding rock deformation in loess tunnels, while reducing labor costs. This article is based on the Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model and uses the Artificial Hummingbird Algorithm (AHA) to achieve hyperparameter optimization of the LSTM model, constructing a computational process framework for the AHA-LSTM model. Taking the Shaojiatang Tunnel project as an example, on-site measurements were conducted on the large deformation section of the surrounding rock to obtain monitoring data on arch crown settlement and arch foot convergence. These data were then inputted into the AHA-LSTM model for calculation and compared with traditional machine learning algorithms for analysis. The results showed that the average R2 of the AHA-LSTM model was 0.9983, MAE was 0.5802, RMSE was 0.7323, MAPE was 1.8539%, and the relative error was controlled within -4.0% to 4.0%. It performed the best in the comparative model; The actual engineering verification shows that the average R2 value is 0.9927 and the average MAPE is 4.2770%, achieving accurate prediction of the deformation of the surrounding rock of the loess tunnel. The prediction method proposed in this article provides a reliable reference for introducing the LSTM prediction method in deep learning into tunnel construction and promoting tunnel construction safety.

       

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