考虑多元盈利路径的抽水蓄能容量优化配置方法

    Optimal allocation method of pumped storage capacity considering multiple profit models

    • 摘要: 针对以新能源为主导的新型电力系统中,抽水蓄能因市场机制不完善导致建设成本分摊不畅、价值疏导受阻及成本回收困难等问题,本文提出考虑多元盈利路径的抽水蓄能容量优化配置方法。结合服务需求及服务补偿电价的不确定性差异,通过量化抽水蓄能在容量租赁、削峰填谷及调频等多元辅助服务中的价值,以抽蓄投资效益最大和净负荷波动方差最小为目标构建抽蓄容量多目标优化配置模型。本模型选用改进的NSGA-Ⅱ算法求解,引入自适应比例因子和正态分布交叉算子,以保持种群多样性。算例中,经多场景对比与经济性分析,160 MW容量下的抽蓄综合效益最优,考虑辅助服务收益后,成本回收年限缩短了2年;同时,改进后的NSGA-Ⅱ算法的帕累托解质量和空间搜索能力显著提升。本方法可作为探索抽蓄投资成本回收及盈利的有效途径,进而提升抽蓄电站的投资积极性。

       

      Abstract: In new power system dominated by renewable energy, pumped storage faces challenges in construction cost allocation, value realization, and cost recovery due to imperfect market mechanisms. This paper proposes a pumped storage capacity optimization method considering multiple revenue pathways. By accounting for uncertainties in service demand and compensation prices, the value of pumped storage in capacity leasing, peak-cutting and valley-filling, and frequency modulation is quantitatively evaluated. A multi-objective optimization model is established with the objectives of maximizing investment benefits and minimizing net load fluctuation variance. The improved NSGA-II algorithm is used to solve the model that incorporates adaptive scaling factor and normal distribution crossover operator to maintain population diversity. Case studies based on multiple scenarios reveal that 160 MW capacity proves optimally. After considering the benefit of auxiliary service, the cost recovery period is shortened by 2 years, while the improved NSGA-II markedly enhances Pareto solution quality and search capability. This method provides an effective approach to addressing cost recovery and profitability for pumped storage, thereby promoting investment in such projects.

       

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