多维工况影响下水电多尺度调节能力量化表征方法

    Quantitative characterization method for multi-scale regulation capacity of hydropower under multi-dimensional operating conditions

    • 摘要: 受到水力电力复杂多维工况的耦合影响,如何精准量化梯级水电多周期调节能力,对于西南地区新能源高效消纳和电网保供具有重要意义。因此,本文提出了多维工况影响下的水电多尺度调节能力量化表征方法。短期和中期尺度上,分别从电力、电量、时间三个维度建立了包含强迫出力、顶峰能力、上下调备用能力、顶峰电量和顶峰时长等水电调节能力量化表征方法;长期尺度上,建立了水电梯级蓄能计算模型。以雅砻江梯级水电站为应用实例,探究了水位、发电流量、水能转换效率等多维运行工况对水电多尺度调节能力的影响,结果表明:短期尺度上,能够达到出力上限的最低水位状态对应最强的顶峰能力,且本文方法可有效应对水电上调备用计划无法可靠实现的风险;中期尺度上,将水电站的月末水位消落得更低有利于应对较高的顶峰电量需求和较长的顶峰时长需求;长期尺度上,蓄能与水位呈正相关,且由于“一滴水重复发电” 的杠杆效应,上游龙头电站水位对梯级水电蓄能的影响最大。本研究对电网调度实际应用具有参考价值。

       

      Abstract: Under the coupled influence of complex multidimensional operating conditions in hydropower systems, accurately quantifying the multi-cycle regulation capacity of cascade hydropower is of significant importance for the efficient integration of renewable energy and reliable power supply in Southwest China. Accordingly, this study proposes a quantitative characterization method for multi-timescale hydropower regulation capacity under multidimensional operating conditions. At short-term and medium-term timescales, a three-dimensional quantitative characterization method encompassing power, energy, and duration has been established, including must-run generation capacity, peak shaving capability, up/down regulation reserve capacity, peak shaving energy potential, and peak shaving duration. At the long-term scale, an energy storage calculation model for cascade hydropower has been developed. Taking the Yalong River cascade hydropower station as an application example, this study investigates the impacts of multidimensional operating conditions (water level, discharge flow, and hydro-mechanical efficiency) on multi-timescale regulation capacity. The results demonstrate that: at the short term, the minimum water level that can reach the maximum output corresponds to the strongest peak capacity, and the method described in this paper effectively addresses the risk of unreliable implementation of hydroelectric power reserve plans.; at the medium-term scale, lowering the end-of-month reservoir water level better satisfies the requirements for higher peak shaving energy and longer peak shaving duration; at the long-term scale, energy storage shows a positive correlation with water level, and due to the "lever effect" of one-drop-multiple-generation, the water level of the upstream leading reservoir exerts the greatest influence on the total energy storage of the cascade system. This research provides valuable references for practical power grid dispatch applications.

       

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