流域水风光一体化基地电源配置模式研究

    Research on power configuration models for integrated hydro-wind-solar energy bases in river basins

    • 摘要: 为响应“双碳”战略目标,加快流域可再生能源一体化开发,聚焦流域水风光一体化基地的电源配置问题,分析了风光资源特性、水电调节能力、输电通道资源和负荷中心需求等影响因素,梳理了电源配置的技术路线;依据流域内常规水电的调节能力及风光资源规模将电源配置方法分为3种模式,并剖析了各模式的资源特点、配置思路及其配置成果规律;将3种模式的配置成果归纳为一个公式,用于快速估算出常规水电、抽水蓄能及新能源的电源配置比例上限,为流域综合能源规划提供一个简易且实用的量化分析工具。结合金沙江下游、金沙江上游(川藏段)、澜沧江上游(西藏段)和藏东南4个区域的资源特点开展应用分析。研究发现:对于常规水电调节能力强、风光资源一般的流域,应充分利用现有常规水电的调节能力,带动周边新能源开发;对于常规水电调节能力强、风光资源丰富的流域,应优先发挥常规水电的调节作用,结合水电增容及抽水蓄能电站建设,大规模带动新能源开发;对于常规水电调节能力弱、风光资源丰富的流域,应发挥常规水电的电力电量基础支撑作用,配置抽水蓄能电站大规模带动新能源开发。研究成果可为后续优化开发方案、提高资源开发利用率提供技术支撑。

       

      Abstract: In response to the "dual-carbon" strategic goals and to accelerate the integrated development of renewable energy in river basins, this study focuses on the power configuration of integrated hydro-wind-solar energy bases. It analyzes influencing factors such as the characteristics of wind and solar resources, the regulating capacity of hydropower, transmission corridor availability, and load center demand, while also outlining technical pathways for power configuration. Based on the regulating capacity of conventional hydropower and the scale of wind and solar resources within a basin, the power configuration methods are categorized into three models. The resource characteristics, configuration approaches, and outcome patterns of each model are examined. The results from these three models are synthesized into a formula to quickly estimate the upper limits of power configuration ratios for conventional hydropower, pumped storage, and renewable energy sources. This provides a simple and practical quantitative analysis tool for the planning of integrated hydro-wind-solar energy bases. An application analysis was conducted based on the resource characteristics of four regions: the lower Jinsha River, the upper Jinsha River (Sichuan-Xizang section), the upper Lancang River (Xizang section), and southeastern Xizang. The findings indicate that in basins with strong conventional hydropower regulation capacity but common wind and solar resources, full utilization of existing hydropower flexibility is essential to facilitating the development of adjacent renewable energy projects. In regions where both conventional hydropower regulation strength and wind-solar resources are abundant, priority should be given to maximizing the regulatory function of hydropower, supplemented by capacity expansion and pumped storage plant construction, to enable large-scale development of renewable energy. For basins characterized by limited conventional hydropower regulation capability yet rich wind-solar potential, conventional hydropower should serve as a foundational support for grid stability and energy supply, while the deployment of pumped storage stations becomes crucial to unlocking large-scale renewable energy development. These research outcomes offer valuable technical support for optimizing future development planning and enhancing resource utilization efficiency.

       

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