GPM卫星降水产品在中国大陆的精度评估

    Evaluation of GPM satellite precipitation products over Mainland China

    • 摘要: 为评估全球降水计划(GPM)主流卫星降水产品IMERG和GSMaP在中国大陆的适用性,基于中国气象局提供的地面降水数据集,选用6种统计指标及误差分解方法对其反演精度进行多时空尺度评估,并分析其误差组分特征。结果表明:(1) IMERG系列产品的统计指标整体表现较好,IMERGFinal虽改善了IMERGLate在部分地区对降水的低估,但扩大了高估降水的范围,且校正算法对整体精度(CC、RMSE)的提高并不明显;GSMaP系列产品均高估了地面降水,GSMaPGauge的评估结果较纯卫星产品GSMaPMVK均有较大提高。(2) IMERG系列产品对降水事件的探测能力较好,GSMaPGauge对降水有着高命中率(POD)的同时,误报率(FAR)最高。各产品在强降水区域均表现出较高的命中率和较低的误报率,表明卫星产品对强降水的探测能力较优。(3) IMERG和GSMaP的误差成分主要来源于误报误差,且具有极为明显的季节性差异,卫星降水产品对暖季降水探测精度更高。总体上,IMERG和GSMaP在湿润区的反演精度优于其他区域,站点校正数据优于纯卫星数据,能较为准确地反映中国大陆的降水特征。

       

      Abstract: In order to evaluate applicability of two major satellite precipitation products, the IMERG and GSMaP of GPM,over Mainland China, six evaluation indicators and error decomposition are used to systematically analyze the error characteristics of these products arcoss multiple scales, benchmarked by a set of ground-based dataset from China Meterological Administration(CMA).The results show that:(1) The statistical indicators of IMERG series products are generally better.Although IMERGFinal improves IMERGLate's underestimation of precipitation in some areas, it expands the scope of overestimated precipitation, and the correction algorithm does not significantly improve the holistic accuracy(CC,RMSE).Both of the GSMaP series products overestimate the ground precipitation.Compared to pure satellite products of GSMaPMVK,the statistical indicators of GSMaPGauge(CC,RMSE,BIAS) are greatly improved.(2) By synthesizing the three classified statistical indices, IMERG series products exhibit better potentials in detecting precipitation events.Although GSMaPGauge shows a higher hit rate of precipitation, it has more false alarm ratios of precipitation.Each product shows a higher hit rate and a lower false alarm rate in the area of heavy precipitation, indicating that the precipitation product has better detection ability for heavy precipitation.(3)The error components of IMERG and GSMaP mainly come from the false alarm error, and it has obvious seasonal difference.The spring and winter show a larger total error and false alarm error, indicating that the satellite products have higher accuracy in detecting warm season precipitation.In general, both IMERG and GSMaP estimates perform better in the humid area than other areas, the gauge-calibrated products obviously outperform the uncalibrated pure satellite datasets.Each of them can accurately reflect the precipitation in mainland China.

       

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